V Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 52 trades in period
-4.97%
Year to Date Return
$10,081.12
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$10,607.95
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
2.1/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
15.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 15.5
30-Day Momentum
12
-1.5%
30d Return
46%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.3
Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,857
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,607.95
Current Value
$10,081.12
Period P&L
$-526.79
Max Drawdown
-5.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
52
Winners / Losers
29 /
23
Best Trade
+1.06%
Worst Trade
-3.03%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
4.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,054,635.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-526.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$-526.79
Gross Return
-4.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.97%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 52 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,607.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 1:05pm ET | $346.13 | 30 | $10,383.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 2:15pm ET | $346.50 | 30 | $10,395.00 | $10,619.02 |
+$11.10 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:40pm ET | $354.42 | 29 | $10,278.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $356.40 | 29 | $10,335.60 | $10,676.44 |
+$57.42 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $355.67 | 30 | $10,669.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:45am ET | $355.17 | 30 | $10,655.10 | $10,661.59 |
$-14.85 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 12:45pm ET | $353.02 | 30 | $10,590.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:35pm ET | $352.81 | 30 | $10,584.15 | $10,655.14 |
$-6.45 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $349.20 | 30 | $10,475.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $338.61 | 30 | $10,158.30 | $10,337.51 |
$-317.62 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $333.92 | 30 | $10,017.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $332.74 | 30 | $9,982.05 | $10,301.96 |
$-35.55 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $326.39 | 31 | $10,118.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 12:45pm ET | $325.20 | 31 | $10,081.20 | $10,265.07 |
$-36.89 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:15pm ET | $327.58 | 31 | $10,154.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:35pm ET | $327.63 | 31 | $10,156.53 | $10,266.62 |
+$1.55 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $322.77 | 31 | $10,005.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:35am ET | $325.45 | 31 | $10,088.95 | $10,349.86 |
+$83.24 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:10am ET | $324.58 | 31 | $10,061.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:30pm ET | $324.59 | 31 | $10,062.29 | $10,350.17 |
+$0.31 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET | $326.19 | 31 | $10,111.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 2:00pm ET | $326.56 | 31 | $10,123.36 | $10,361.64 |
+$11.47 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 2:00pm ET | $325.29 | 31 | $10,083.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:20pm ET | $326.13 | 31 | $10,110.03 | $10,387.68 |
+$26.04 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $325.60 | 31 | $10,093.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $327.66 | 31 | $10,157.46 | $10,451.54 |
+$63.86 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $325.19 | 32 | $10,406.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:35am ET | $326.93 | 32 | $10,461.76 | $10,507.22 |
+$55.68 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $322.36 | 32 | $10,315.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $323.54 | 32 | $10,353.28 | $10,545.14 |
+$37.92 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 12:55pm ET | $331.15 | 31 | $10,265.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:05pm ET | $331.84 | 31 | $10,287.04 | $10,566.53 |
+$21.39 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $328.91 | 32 | $10,525.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $325.74 | 32 | $10,423.68 | $10,465.09 |
$-101.44 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:25pm ET | $330.77 | 31 | $10,254.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:10pm ET | $331.38 | 31 | $10,272.78 | $10,483.85 |
+$18.76 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $327.67 | 31 | $10,157.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:50pm ET | $325.17 | 31 | $10,080.42 | $10,406.50 |
$-77.35 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:15pm ET | $327.76 | 31 | $10,160.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 2:25pm ET | $328.11 | 31 | $10,171.26 | $10,417.35 |
+$10.85 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $318.34 | 32 | $10,186.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $319.89 | 32 | $10,236.48 | $10,466.95 |
+$49.60 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $318.11 | 32 | $10,179.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 11:55am ET | $317.85 | 32 | $10,171.20 | $10,458.47 |
$-8.48 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $319.00 | 32 | $10,208.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $312.06 | 32 | $9,985.92 | $10,236.39 |
$-222.08 (-2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.96 | 32 | $10,110.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $314.19 | 32 | $10,054.08 | $10,179.75 |
$-56.64 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $316.07 | 32 | $10,114.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:10am ET | $316.01 | 32 | $10,112.32 | $10,177.99 |
$-1.76 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:50pm ET | $320.98 | 31 | $9,950.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $319.71 | 31 | $9,911.16 | $10,138.77 |
$-39.22 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $315.27 | 32 | $10,088.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $315.73 | 32 | $10,103.37 | $10,153.66 |
+$14.89 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $314.87 | 32 | $10,075.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:45pm ET | $314.88 | 32 | $10,076.00 | $10,153.91 |
+$0.25 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 3:50pm ET | $308.58 | 32 | $9,874.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $309.41 | 32 | $9,901.18 | $10,180.69 |
+$26.78 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET | $306.89 | 33 | $10,127.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:30pm ET | $307.99 | 33 | $10,163.83 | $10,217.15 |
+$36.46 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $309.08 | 33 | $10,199.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $308.92 | 33 | $10,194.36 | $10,211.71 |
$-5.44 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $298.89 | 34 | $10,162.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $298.31 | 34 | $10,142.54 | $10,191.99 |
$-19.72 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $301.71 | 33 | $9,956.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $301.58 | 33 | $9,952.14 | $10,187.53 |
$-4.46 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.78 | 33 | $9,991.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $303.21 | 33 | $10,006.09 | $10,201.88 |
+$14.35 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 2:50pm ET | $304.65 | 33 | $10,053.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:50pm ET | $305.20 | 33 | $10,071.60 | $10,220.03 |
+$18.15 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $303.19 | 33 | $10,005.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $298.61 | 33 | $9,854.29 | $10,069.05 |
$-150.98 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $298.88 | 33 | $9,863.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $299.37 | 33 | $9,879.21 | $10,085.22 |
+$16.17 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $301.46 | 33 | $9,948.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $304.65 | 33 | $10,053.45 | $10,190.49 |
+$105.27 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $297.17 | 34 | $10,103.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $298.51 | 34 | $10,149.17 | $10,235.88 |
+$45.39 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $302.94 | 33 | $9,997.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET | $303.48 | 33 | $10,014.68 | $10,253.54 |
+$17.66 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $301.34 | 34 | $10,245.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $302.63 | 34 | $10,289.42 | $10,297.40 |
+$43.86 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $308.05 | 33 | $10,165.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $304.89 | 33 | $10,061.37 | $10,193.29 |
$-104.11 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $306.75 | 33 | $10,122.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:10am ET | $306.40 | 33 | $10,111.20 | $10,181.62 |
$-11.67 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $315.48 | 32 | $10,095.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $315.65 | 32 | $10,100.80 | $10,186.90 |
+$5.28 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $317.17 | 32 | $10,149.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:50pm ET | $316.81 | 32 | $10,137.92 | $10,175.42 |
$-11.48 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $308.95 | 32 | $9,886.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $310.47 | 32 | $9,935.04 | $10,224.06 |
+$48.64 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $305.79 | 33 | $10,091.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:55pm ET | $306.32 | 33 | $10,108.40 | $10,241.38 |
+$17.32 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $307.08 | 33 | $10,133.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $309.80 | 33 | $10,223.40 | $10,331.14 |
+$89.76 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:05pm ET | $312.27 | 33 | $10,304.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 1:30pm ET | $311.58 | 33 | $10,282.17 | $10,308.40 |
$-22.74 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 3:30pm ET | $335.63 | 30 | $10,068.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $331.33 | 30 | $9,940.05 | $10,179.55 |
$-128.85 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $331.36 | 30 | $9,940.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET | $329.34 | 30 | $9,880.20 | $10,119.10 |
$-60.45 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $324.17 | 31 | $10,049.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:55am ET | $322.95 | 31 | $10,011.30 | $10,081.12 |
$-37.98 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,081.12
Net Profit/Loss:
+$81.12
Total Return:
+0.81%