Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
3,580
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,052.36
Current Value
$9,954.87
Period P&L
$-97.40
Max Drawdown
-8.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
9 / 8
Best Trade
+0.47%
Worst Trade
-1.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
13.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$332,687.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-97.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-97.40
Gross Return
-0.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,052.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $334.78 30 $10,043.25
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $335.54 30 $10,066.14 $10,075.19 +$22.89
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $338.96 29 $9,829.84
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $339.17 29 $9,835.93 $10,081.28 +$6.09
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $340.99 29 $9,888.71
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:45am ET $341.25 29 $9,896.25 $10,088.82 +$7.54
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $342.37 29 $9,928.59
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $341.22 29 $9,895.38 $10,055.61 $-33.20
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $342.67 29 $9,937.29
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:15am ET $342.41 29 $9,929.89 $10,048.22 $-7.39
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $342.96 29 $9,945.84
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $343.45 29 $9,959.91 $10,062.28 +$14.07
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $341.85 29 $9,913.66
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $337.46 29 $9,786.34 $9,934.96 $-127.32
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $337.01 29 $9,773.29
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $336.44 29 $9,756.76 $9,918.43 $-16.53
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $341.42 29 $9,901.32
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:55am ET $340.66 29 $9,879.00 $9,896.11 $-22.32
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $342.15 28 $9,580.20
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $341.98 28 $9,575.30 $9,891.21 $-4.90
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $343.30 28 $9,612.40
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $344.14 28 $9,635.92 $9,914.73 +$23.52
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $342.00 28 $9,576.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $341.12 28 $9,551.36 $9,890.09 $-24.64
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET $340.50 29 $9,874.50
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:40am ET $341.61 29 $9,906.55 $9,922.14 +$32.05
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $342.52 28 $9,590.56
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $342.97 28 $9,603.16 $9,934.73 +$12.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $338.66 29 $9,821.14
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $337.41 29 $9,784.89 $9,898.48 $-36.25
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:25pm ET $342.69 28 $9,595.35
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $343.08 28 $9,606.38 $9,909.51 +$11.03
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $342.16 28 $9,580.48
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $343.78 28 $9,625.84 $9,954.87 +$45.36
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,954.87
Net Profit/Loss: $-45.13
Total Return: -0.45%
Back to Professor Mean