Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,439
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,316.18
Current Value
$11,362.60
Period P&L
$46.47
Max Drawdown
-19.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
11 / 5
Best Trade
+1.97%
Worst Trade
-3.33%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
7.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$361,714.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$46.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$46.47
Gross Return
+0.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,316.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $26.05 434 $11,305.70
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $26.21 434 $11,375.18 $11,385.60 +$69.48
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET $26.06 436 $11,362.16
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET $26.18 436 $11,414.48 $11,437.92 +$52.32
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:05am ET $26.24 435 $11,414.40
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 11:50am ET $26.13 435 $11,366.55 $11,390.07 $-47.85
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:50am ET $25.64 444 $11,384.16
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $25.78 444 $11,446.32 $11,452.23 +$62.16
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:50am ET $25.91 442 $11,450.01
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $26.07 442 $11,520.73 $11,522.95 +$70.72
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $27.15 424 $11,511.60
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $26.25 424 $11,127.88 $11,139.23 $-383.72
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $26.13 426 $11,129.25
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $26.18 426 $11,152.68 $11,162.66 +$23.43
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $28.29 394 $11,146.26
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $28.19 394 $11,105.01 $11,121.41 $-41.25
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $26.32 422 $11,105.61
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:55am ET $26.31 422 $11,102.82 $11,118.63 $-2.79
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:50am ET $26.30 422 $11,098.64
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:25am ET $26.47 422 $11,170.34 $11,190.32 +$71.70
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $26.80 417 $11,173.52
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:25pm ET $26.80 417 $11,175.60 $11,192.41 +$2.08
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET $27.01 414 $11,180.07
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET $27.26 414 $11,285.64 $11,297.98 +$105.57
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $27.23 414 $11,273.22
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $27.47 414 $11,372.58 $11,397.34 +$99.36
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:05pm ET $28.40 401 $11,388.40
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $28.96 401 $11,612.96 $11,621.90 +$224.56
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $27.50 422 $11,605.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET $26.77 422 $11,296.94 $11,313.84 $-308.06
(-2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $26.67 424 $11,305.96
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $26.78 424 $11,354.72 $11,362.60 +$48.76
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,362.60
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,362.60
Total Return: +13.63%
Back to Professor Mean