Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
3,880
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,222.18
Current Value
$11,607.69
Period P&L
$385.56
Max Drawdown
-4.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
12 / 6
Best Trade
+2.21%
Worst Trade
-0.79%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
5.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$411,070.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$385.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$385.56
Gross Return
+3.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,222.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $112.32 99 $11,119.19
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $112.59 99 $11,145.92 $11,248.86 +$26.73
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $112.63 99 $11,149.88
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $113.21 99 $11,207.79 $11,306.77 +$57.91
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $113.70 99 $11,255.81
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:45am ET $112.80 99 $11,166.71 $11,217.67 $-89.10
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $112.90 99 $11,176.66
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $113.22 99 $11,208.76 $11,249.77 +$32.10
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $114.53 98 $11,223.94
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $117.06 98 $11,471.88 $11,497.71 +$247.94
(+2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $119.81 95 $11,381.95
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $120.12 95 $11,410.93 $11,526.68 +$28.97
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:55am ET $120.04 96 $11,523.84
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $119.79 96 $11,499.84 $11,502.68 $-24.00
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $118.25 97 $11,470.25
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $118.48 97 $11,492.80 $11,525.24 +$22.55
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $118.11 97 $11,456.67
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 3:15pm ET $118.29 97 $11,474.13 $11,542.70 +$17.46
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:40am ET $118.76 97 $11,519.72
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:10am ET $118.59 97 $11,502.75 $11,525.72 $-16.98
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $117.86 97 $11,432.42
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 2:50pm ET $118.00 97 $11,445.52 $11,538.82 +$13.10
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $117.74 98 $11,538.52
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $117.65 98 $11,529.70 $11,530.00 $-8.82
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $116.61 98 $11,427.78
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:40am ET $116.23 98 $11,390.54 $11,492.76 $-37.24
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET $116.87 98 $11,453.26
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:35pm ET $117.25 98 $11,490.50 $11,530.00 +$37.24
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $128.07 90 $11,526.30
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $128.59 90 $11,572.95 $11,576.64 +$46.65
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $130.06 89 $11,575.34
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:25am ET $130.96 89 $11,655.44 $11,656.74 +$80.10
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:25am ET $128.01 91 $11,649.19
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $127.21 91 $11,576.11 $11,583.66 $-73.08
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 3:00pm ET $128.79 89 $11,461.87
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:30pm ET $129.05 89 $11,485.89 $11,607.69 +$24.03
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,607.69
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,607.69
Total Return: +16.08%
Back to Professor Mean