Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,109
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,009.43
Current Value
$10,717.43
Period P&L
$-291.95
Max Drawdown
-5.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
8 / 9
Best Trade
+0.37%
Worst Trade
-1.67%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
9.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$369,028.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-291.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$-291.95
Gross Return
-2.65%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,009.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $56.36 195 $10,989.23
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:15am ET $56.18 195 $10,955.10 $10,975.25 $-34.12
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $55.67 197 $10,966.01
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $55.80 197 $10,992.60 $11,001.85 +$26.59
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:40am ET $55.85 196 $10,946.60
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET $55.96 196 $10,968.16 $11,023.41 +$21.56
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $55.00 200 $11,000.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $54.82 200 $10,964.00 $10,987.41 $-36.00
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET $53.94 203 $10,949.82
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 11:15am ET $53.90 203 $10,940.69 $10,978.27 $-9.13
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $54.47 201 $10,947.47
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:45pm ET $54.51 201 $10,956.51 $10,987.32 +$9.04
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $54.64 201 $10,982.64
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $53.73 201 $10,798.73 $10,803.40 $-183.92
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET $53.47 202 $10,799.93
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $53.44 202 $10,793.95 $10,797.42 $-5.98
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $53.75 200 $10,749.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $53.80 200 $10,760.00 $10,808.42 +$11.00
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:05am ET $53.21 203 $10,801.63
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $53.26 203 $10,811.78 $10,818.57 +$10.15
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $53.00 204 $10,810.98
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:55am ET $53.04 204 $10,819.14 $10,826.73 +$8.16
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:55am ET $53.33 203 $10,825.99
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $53.26 203 $10,810.77 $10,811.51 $-15.22
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $53.83 200 $10,767.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET $54.03 200 $10,807.00 $10,851.51 +$40.00
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $53.71 202 $10,849.42
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:30am ET $53.37 202 $10,779.73 $10,781.82 $-69.69
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:30am ET $54.06 199 $10,756.95
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:45pm ET $54.10 199 $10,764.91 $10,789.78 +$7.96
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $54.06 199 $10,758.93
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $53.94 199 $10,734.06 $10,764.90 $-24.88
(-0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET $53.26 202 $10,758.52
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:30am ET $53.03 202 $10,711.05 $10,717.43 $-47.47
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,717.43
Net Profit/Loss: +$717.43
Total Return: +7.17%
Back to Professor Mean