Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-24 01:31:39

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.4/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 36.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 35.8

30-Day Momentum

57
+4.2%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 59.7 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,010
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
124 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,849.00
Current Value
$12,164.48
Period P&L
$1,315.49
Max Drawdown
-11.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
72
Winners / Losers
53 / 19
Best Trade
+2.22%
Worst Trade
-1.91%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
6.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,606,288.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,315.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,315.49
Gross Return
+12.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 124 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 72 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,849.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:55am ET $145.32 74 $10,753.68
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:40pm ET $144.87 74 $10,720.37 $10,815.69 $-33.31
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $146.39 73 $10,686.47
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:05am ET $146.70 73 $10,709.10 $10,838.32 +$22.63
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $143.69 75 $10,776.75
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $143.98 75 $10,798.50 $10,860.07 +$21.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $146.21 74 $10,819.54
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $146.37 74 $10,831.38 $10,871.91 +$11.84
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $146.80 74 $10,862.83
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET $146.53 74 $10,843.22 $10,852.30 $-19.61
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:35pm ET $143.39 75 $10,754.25
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $143.77 75 $10,782.38 $10,880.42 +$28.13
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $146.53 74 $10,843.22
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $146.72 74 $10,857.28 $10,894.48 +$14.06
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $143.83 75 $10,787.25
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $143.48 75 $10,761.00 $10,868.23 $-26.25
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $143.02 75 $10,726.50
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $142.54 75 $10,690.50 $10,832.23 $-36.00
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $144.98 74 $10,728.52
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $145.18 74 $10,743.32 $10,847.03 +$14.80
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $144.78 74 $10,713.35
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:40pm ET $145.06 74 $10,734.44 $10,868.12 +$21.09
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $146.21 74 $10,819.17
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $147.32 74 $10,901.50 $10,950.45 +$82.32
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:40am ET $148.67 73 $10,852.91
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $149.01 73 $10,878.08 $10,975.62 +$25.17
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET $145.22 75 $10,891.50
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:45am ET $146.05 75 $10,953.75 $11,037.87 +$62.25
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $145.76 75 $10,932.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $145.24 75 $10,893.37 $10,999.24 $-38.62
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $140.04 78 $10,923.12
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $137.37 78 $10,714.86 $10,790.98 $-208.26
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $135.62 79 $10,713.98
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $138.63 79 $10,951.77 $11,028.77 +$237.79
(+2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $143.33 76 $10,892.71
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $143.47 76 $10,903.73 $11,039.79 +$11.02
(+0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
24m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $138.45 79 $10,937.16
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:55am ET $138.16 79 $10,914.64 $11,017.27 $-22.52
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:40pm ET $141.61 77 $10,903.97
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $140.76 77 $10,838.14 $10,951.44 $-65.83
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $139.07 78 $10,847.46
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET $140.00 78 $10,920.00 $11,023.98 +$72.54
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET $140.32 78 $10,944.96
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 12:20pm ET $138.70 78 $10,818.21 $10,897.23 $-126.75
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $140.44 77 $10,813.88
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $140.46 77 $10,815.22 $10,898.57 +$1.34
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $143.01 76 $10,868.76
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $142.26 76 $10,811.76 $10,841.57 $-57.00
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $138.34 78 $10,790.13
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 10:45am ET $139.45 78 $10,877.10 $10,928.54 +$86.97
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $139.30 78 $10,865.40
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 2:15pm ET $139.73 78 $10,898.94 $10,962.08 +$33.54
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $140.15 78 $10,931.31
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:50am ET $140.38 78 $10,949.64 $10,980.41 +$18.33
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 12:40pm ET $138.60 79 $10,949.79
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $139.20 79 $10,996.80 $11,027.42 +$47.01
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $140.37 78 $10,948.86
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $140.84 78 $10,985.13 $11,063.69 +$36.27
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $139.24 79 $10,999.96
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:40am ET $138.51 79 $10,942.29 $11,006.02 $-57.67
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $136.71 80 $10,936.80
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $137.07 80 $10,966.00 $11,035.22 +$29.20
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $138.76 79 $10,961.65
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $139.22 79 $10,998.38 $11,071.95 +$36.73
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:35pm ET $139.02 79 $10,982.58
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $139.27 79 $11,002.72 $11,092.09 +$20.14
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $136.34 81 $11,043.54
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 11:35am ET $136.46 81 $11,052.86 $11,101.41 +$9.32
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $137.74 80 $11,019.20
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 1:35pm ET $137.10 80 $10,968.00 $11,050.21 $-51.20
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET $136.51 80 $10,920.80
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $136.79 80 $10,942.80 $11,072.21 +$22.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $132.50 83 $10,997.50
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $131.62 83 $10,924.67 $10,999.38 $-72.83
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:55am ET $129.12 85 $10,975.20
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 11:05am ET $129.54 85 $11,010.90 $11,035.08 +$35.70
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $135.26 81 $10,955.66
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $135.04 81 $10,937.84 $11,017.26 $-17.82
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $135.88 81 $11,006.28
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $136.47 81 $11,054.07 $11,065.05 +$47.79
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $135.98 81 $11,013.98
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $136.91 81 $11,089.71 $11,140.78 +$75.73
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET $142.24 78 $11,095.11
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET $142.93 78 $11,148.15 $11,193.82 +$53.04
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $148.76 75 $11,156.63
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $148.95 75 $11,170.88 $11,208.08 +$14.26
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $151.10 74 $11,181.72
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:40pm ET $151.52 74 $11,212.85 $11,239.21 +$31.13
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $153.66 73 $11,217.18
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $153.79 73 $11,226.31 $11,248.34 +$9.13
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $154.59 72 $11,130.48
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $155.18 72 $11,172.96 $11,290.82 +$42.48
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $156.57 72 $11,273.04
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET $157.21 72 $11,318.76 $11,336.54 +$45.72
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET $159.37 71 $11,315.27
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:40am ET $159.52 71 $11,326.27 $11,347.54 +$11.00
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET $158.18 71 $11,230.78
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $158.20 71 $11,232.20 $11,348.96 +$1.42
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
50 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $161.83 70 $11,328.10
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $162.07 70 $11,345.25 $11,366.11 +$17.15
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
51 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $165.70 68 $11,267.39
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $167.08 68 $11,361.44 $11,460.16 +$94.05
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
52 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:55am ET $170.88 67 $11,448.96
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $169.89 67 $11,382.63 $11,393.83 $-66.33
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
53 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:00pm ET $177.65 64 $11,369.60
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $177.80 64 $11,379.52 $11,403.75 +$9.92
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
54 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $179.38 63 $11,300.94
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $179.35 63 $11,298.74 $11,401.54 $-2.21
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
55 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $176.21 64 $11,277.44
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $177.43 64 $11,355.52 $11,479.62 +$78.08
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
56 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:10am ET $171.89 66 $11,344.74
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 11:15am ET $172.71 66 $11,398.86 $11,533.74 +$54.12
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
57 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $175.64 65 $11,416.59
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $176.27 65 $11,457.87 $11,575.02 +$41.28
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
58 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $177.26 65 $11,521.90
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:20pm ET $178.20 65 $11,583.00 $11,636.12 +$61.10
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
59 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:20pm ET $180.55 64 $11,555.20
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $183.05 64 $11,715.20 $11,796.12 +$160.00
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
60 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $184.56 63 $11,627.28
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $183.32 63 $11,549.16 $11,718.00 $-78.12
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
61 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:45pm ET $190.07 61 $11,594.27
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:30pm ET $190.52 61 $11,621.72 $11,745.45 +$27.45
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $195.40 60 $11,724.30
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $196.13 60 $11,767.80 $11,788.95 +$43.50
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
63 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $195.89 60 $11,753.40
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $194.86 60 $11,691.60 $11,727.15 $-61.80
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:45am ET $190.61 61 $11,627.21
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:55am ET $191.86 61 $11,703.46 $11,803.40 +$76.25
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:20am ET $185.44 63 $11,682.72
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $183.74 63 $11,575.62 $11,696.30 $-107.10
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $184.10 63 $11,598.30
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $185.96 63 $11,715.48 $11,813.48 +$117.18
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $177.63 66 $11,723.58
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $178.49 66 $11,780.34 $11,870.24 +$56.76
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
68 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:20pm ET $184.58 64 $11,813.12
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 2:40pm ET $185.20 64 $11,852.80 $11,909.92 +$39.68
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
69 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $191.00 62 $11,842.00
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $191.94 62 $11,900.28 $11,968.20 +$58.28
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
70 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $186.72 64 $11,950.08
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $188.92 64 $12,090.88 $12,109.00 +$140.80
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
71 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $191.13 63 $12,041.19
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:35pm ET $191.34 63 $12,054.42 $12,122.23 +$13.23
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
72 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $184.39 65 $11,985.35
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $185.04 65 $12,027.60 $12,164.48 +$42.25
(+0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,164.48
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,164.48
Total Return: +21.64%
Back to Professor Mean