Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,146
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,849.00
Current Value
$11,039.79
Period P&L
$190.80
Max Drawdown
-11.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
12 / 6
Best Trade
+2.22%
Worst Trade
-1.91%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
7.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$389,146.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$190.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$190.80
Gross Return
+1.76%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,849.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:55am ET $145.32 74 $10,753.68
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:40pm ET $144.87 74 $10,720.37 $10,815.69 $-33.31
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $146.39 73 $10,686.47
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:05am ET $146.70 73 $10,709.10 $10,838.32 +$22.63
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $143.69 75 $10,776.75
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $143.98 75 $10,798.50 $10,860.07 +$21.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $146.21 74 $10,819.54
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $146.37 74 $10,831.38 $10,871.91 +$11.84
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $146.80 74 $10,862.83
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET $146.53 74 $10,843.22 $10,852.30 $-19.61
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:35pm ET $143.39 75 $10,754.25
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $143.77 75 $10,782.38 $10,880.42 +$28.13
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $146.53 74 $10,843.22
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $146.72 74 $10,857.28 $10,894.48 +$14.06
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $143.83 75 $10,787.25
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $143.48 75 $10,761.00 $10,868.23 $-26.25
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $143.02 75 $10,726.50
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $142.54 75 $10,690.50 $10,832.23 $-36.00
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $144.98 74 $10,728.52
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $145.18 74 $10,743.32 $10,847.03 +$14.80
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $144.78 74 $10,713.35
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:40pm ET $145.06 74 $10,734.44 $10,868.12 +$21.09
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $146.21 74 $10,819.17
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $147.32 74 $10,901.50 $10,950.45 +$82.32
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:40am ET $148.67 73 $10,852.91
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $149.01 73 $10,878.08 $10,975.62 +$25.17
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET $145.22 75 $10,891.50
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:45am ET $146.05 75 $10,953.75 $11,037.87 +$62.25
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $145.76 75 $10,932.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $145.24 75 $10,893.37 $10,999.24 $-38.62
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $140.04 78 $10,923.12
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $137.37 78 $10,714.86 $10,790.98 $-208.26
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $135.62 79 $10,713.98
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $138.63 79 $10,951.77 $11,028.77 +$237.79
(+2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $143.33 76 $10,892.71
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $143.47 76 $10,903.73 $11,039.79 +$11.02
(+0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
24m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,039.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,039.79
Total Return: +10.40%
Back to Professor Mean