Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:18:02

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.2/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 40.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 40.3

30-Day Momentum

41
+5.6%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
4.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 55.9 Conf: 0.74×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,952.74
Current Value
$15,364.49
Period P&L
$411.81
Max Drawdown
-20.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.78

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+2.18%
Worst Trade
-0.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.92%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$178,253.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$411.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$411.81
Gross Return
+2.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,952.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $299.94 48 $14,397.12
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $306.06 48 $14,690.88 $14,847.08 +$293.76
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:55am ET $310.20 47 $14,579.40
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $310.03 47 $14,571.41 $14,839.09 $-7.99
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:15am ET $308.63 48 $14,814.24
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $314.83 48 $15,111.84 $15,136.69 +$297.60
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:15am ET $308.63 48 $14,814.24
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $308.77 48 $14,820.96 $15,143.41 +$6.72
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET $296.07 51 $15,099.57
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $294.00 51 $14,994.00 $15,037.84 $-105.57
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:40am ET $294.44 51 $15,016.44
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $300.85 51 $15,343.10 $15,364.49 +$326.65
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,364.49
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,364.49
Total Return: +53.64%
Back to Rebel Contraire