Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:23:05

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 8.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 7.9

30-Day Momentum

4
-10.1%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,133.07
Current Value
$6,384.65
Period P&L
$-748.40
Max Drawdown
-41.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.63

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+2.09%
Worst Trade
-3.82%
Avg Trade Return
-1.49%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$93,823.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-748.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-748.40
Gross Return
-10.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $7,133.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $178.47 39 $6,960.33
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $175.23 39 $6,833.78 $6,971.79 $-126.55
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:10am ET $176.57 39 $6,886.42
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:30am ET $180.13 39 $7,025.26 $7,110.63 +$138.84
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $196.99 36 $7,091.64
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $189.46 36 $6,820.56 $6,839.55 $-271.08
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $180.46 37 $6,676.84
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:40am ET $176.74 37 $6,539.32 $6,702.03 $-137.52
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:20am ET $175.07 38 $6,652.66
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $168.68 38 $6,409.84 $6,459.21 $-242.82
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $168.63 38 $6,407.94
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:40am ET $172.15 38 $6,541.64 $6,592.91 +$133.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:55am ET $169.04 39 $6,592.56
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 11:55am ET $163.70 39 $6,384.30 $6,384.65 $-208.26
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,384.65
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,615.35
Total Return: -36.15%
Back to Rebel Contraire