Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 14:05:08

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 8.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 8.5

30-Day Momentum

52
+10.6%
30d Return
86%
Win Rate
7
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 66.8 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+43 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,771
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$6,046.38
Current Value
$6,686.24
Period P&L
$639.89
Max Drawdown
-40.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.55

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
6 / 1
Best Trade
+4.25%
Worst Trade
-4.94%
Avg Trade Return
+1.50%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$85,123.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$639.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$639.89
Gross Return
+10.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $6,046.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $243.27 24 $5,838.48
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $231.26 24 $5,550.14 $5,758.01 $-288.34
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $225.51 25 $5,637.87
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET $231.13 25 $5,778.37 $5,898.51 +$140.50
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:50am ET $241.30 24 $5,791.20
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $251.55 24 $6,037.20 $6,144.51 +$246.00
(+4.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:10am ET $250.21 24 $6,004.92
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET $255.65 24 $6,135.72 $6,275.31 +$130.80
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $238.41 26 $6,198.66
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:10pm ET $243.53 26 $6,331.78 $6,408.43 +$133.12
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:45pm ET $240.76 26 $6,259.89
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $246.27 26 $6,403.02 $6,551.56 +$143.13
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $250.42 26 $6,510.92
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $255.60 26 $6,645.60 $6,686.24 +$134.68
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,686.24
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,313.76
Total Return: -33.14%
Back to Rebel Contraire