Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:18:02

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 9.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 9.4

30-Day Momentum

50
+9.7%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.8 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+41 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$4,580.36
Current Value
$4,814.94
Period P&L
$234.61
Max Drawdown
-57.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
9 / 4
Best Trade
+3.49%
Worst Trade
-4.47%
Avg Trade Return
+0.76%
Avg Hold Time
7.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$119,614.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$234.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$234.61
Gross Return
+5.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $4,580.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 1:35pm ET $1.54 2,849 $4,387.46
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $1.58 2,849 $4,501.42 $4,502.27 +$113.96
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:20am ET $1.57 2,876 $4,500.94
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $1.61 2,876 $4,615.98 $4,617.31 +$115.04
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4h held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:05am ET $1.57 2,940 $4,615.80
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:00am ET $1.62 2,940 $4,748.10 $4,749.61 +$132.30
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:15am ET $2.00 2,372 $4,748.98
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:40am ET $1.94 2,372 $4,601.68 $4,602.31 $-147.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $2.01 2,295 $4,601.48
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $1.93 2,295 $4,429.35 $4,430.18 $-172.13
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $1.86 2,381 $4,428.66
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:45am ET $1.92 2,381 $4,583.42 $4,584.94 +$154.76
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:45am ET $1.80 2,540 $4,584.70
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $1.75 2,540 $4,445.00 $4,445.24 $-139.70
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $1.91 2,325 $4,444.24
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $1.97 2,325 $4,579.79 $4,580.79 +$135.55
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $2.04 2,245 $4,580.02
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $2.09 2,245 $4,680.83 $4,681.59 +$100.80
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $2.28 2,055 $4,680.88
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:15am ET $2.33 2,055 $4,777.88 $4,778.59 +$97.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:15am ET $2.35 2,033 $4,777.55
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $2.24 2,033 $4,564.08 $4,565.12 $-213.47
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:05am ET $2.56 1,783 $4,564.48
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:35am ET $2.63 1,783 $4,680.38 $4,681.02 +$115.90
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 11:20am ET $2.80 1,674 $4,678.83
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $2.88 1,674 $4,812.75 $4,814.94 +$133.92
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,814.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,185.06
Total Return: -51.85%
Back to Rebel Contraire