Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:19:59

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.7/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 28.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 28.3

30-Day Momentum

77
+14.3%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 83.6 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+49 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,113.14
Current Value
$14,047.06
Period P&L
$933.94
Max Drawdown
-52.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.44

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
9 / 3
Best Trade
+5.76%
Worst Trade
-3.24%
Avg Trade Return
+1.18%
Avg Hold Time
23.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$316,777.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$933.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$933.94
Gross Return
+7.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,113.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $444.27 27 $11,995.29
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $469.87 27 $12,686.49 $12,981.90 +$691.20
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:10am ET $490.59 26 $12,755.34
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:05pm ET $501.55 26 $13,040.17 $13,266.73 +$284.83
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9h held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $495.41 26 $12,880.66
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:15am ET $506.11 26 $13,158.86 $13,544.93 +$278.20
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:45am ET $508.00 26 $13,208.00
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:45am ET $492.29 26 $12,799.54 $13,136.47 $-408.46
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:20am ET $507.83 25 $12,695.75
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:20pm ET $518.20 25 $12,955.00 $13,395.72 +$259.25
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:20am ET $507.83 25 $12,695.75
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:50am ET $518.67 25 $12,966.65 $13,666.62 +$270.90
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET $486.44 28 $13,620.32
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $470.67 28 $13,178.76 $13,225.06 $-441.56
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $488.78 27 $13,197.06
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $503.45 27 $13,593.02 $13,621.02 +$395.96
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $463.55 29 $13,442.98
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:50am ET $472.98 29 $13,716.42 $13,894.46 +$273.44
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:50am ET $508.23 27 $13,722.34
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 1:25pm ET $519.10 27 $14,015.70 $14,187.81 +$293.35
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $548.47 25 $13,711.63
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $531.65 25 $13,291.25 $13,767.43 $-420.38
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 11:25am ET $522.53 26 $13,585.65
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $533.28 26 $13,865.28 $14,047.06 +$279.63
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,047.06
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,047.06
Total Return: +40.47%
Back to Rebel Contraire