Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:18:02

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.9/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 26.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 26.1

30-Day Momentum

19
+2.2%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.4 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,470.87
Current Value
$11,718.18
Period P&L
$247.32
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+2.17%
Worst Trade
-2.44%
Avg Trade Return
+0.46%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$114,411.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$247.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$247.32
Gross Return
+2.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,470.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:25am ET $336.91 34 $11,454.94
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $331.95 34 $11,286.30 $11,302.22 $-168.64
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $327.95 34 $11,150.47
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:40am ET $334.55 34 $11,374.70 $11,526.45 +$224.23
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $343.70 33 $11,342.10
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $351.15 33 $11,587.95 $11,772.30 +$245.85
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:30am ET $347.49 33 $11,467.17
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:35pm ET $354.49 33 $11,698.17 $12,003.30 +$231.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:55pm ET $353.56 33 $11,667.48
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $344.92 33 $11,382.36 $11,718.18 $-285.12
(-2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,718.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,718.18
Total Return: +17.18%
Back to Rebel Contraire