Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:35:23

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.2/35
Total Return
9.6/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 24.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 23.9

30-Day Momentum

25
+2.9%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 32.5 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,741
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,998.19
Current Value
$11,319.05
Period P&L
$320.87
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+2.08%
Worst Trade
-3.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.43%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$154,314.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$320.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$320.87
Gross Return
+2.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,998.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:55am ET $338.67 32 $10,837.60
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:50am ET $345.52 32 $11,056.64 $11,217.22 +$219.04
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET $353.82 31 $10,968.27
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:15am ET $350.70 31 $10,871.85 $11,120.81 $-96.41
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $347.14 32 $11,108.48
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:35am ET $354.36 32 $11,339.68 $11,352.01 +$231.20
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $351.42 32 $11,245.44
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET $340.42 32 $10,893.28 $10,999.85 $-352.16
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET $346.49 31 $10,741.34
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET $346.17 31 $10,731.27 $10,989.78 $-10.07
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:10am ET $341.99 32 $10,943.68
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:35am ET $348.89 32 $11,164.32 $11,210.42 +$220.64
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
7 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $327.99 34 $11,151.83
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $331.19 34 $11,260.46 $11,319.05 +$108.63
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,319.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,319.05
Total Return: +13.19%
Back to Rebel Contraire