Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:20:00

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 24.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 23.7

30-Day Momentum

4
-12.4%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,001.08
Current Value
$11,390.35
Period P&L
$-1,610.73
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.93

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+2.07%
Worst Trade
-3.31%
Avg Trade Return
-1.88%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$168,444.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,610.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,610.73
Gross Return
-12.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,001.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 12:10pm ET $268.85 48 $12,904.80
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $269.90 48 $12,955.20 $13,051.48 +$50.40
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 2:15pm ET $272.13 47 $12,790.11
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $263.11 47 $12,366.40 $12,627.77 $-423.71
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:50am ET $259.98 48 $12,479.28
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:50am ET $251.88 48 $12,090.24 $12,238.73 $-389.04
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:55am ET $253.65 48 $12,175.20
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $245.97 48 $11,806.56 $11,870.09 $-368.64
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET $248.41 47 $11,675.27
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $240.88 47 $11,321.59 $11,516.41 $-353.68
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $238.28 48 $11,437.30
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $243.21 48 $11,674.08 $11,753.19 +$236.78
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:30am ET $246.08 47 $11,565.76
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $238.36 47 $11,202.92 $11,390.35 $-362.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,390.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,390.35
Total Return: +13.90%
Back to Rebel Contraire