Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:24:36

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 11.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 11.2

30-Day Momentum

12
-5.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,341.05
Current Value
$8,014.20
Period P&L
$-326.85
Max Drawdown
-23.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+2.42%
Worst Trade
-3.63%
Avg Trade Return
-0.56%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$161,507.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-326.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$-326.85
Gross Return
-3.92%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,341.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $69.24 122 $8,447.28
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET $67.03 122 $8,177.66 $8,234.91 $-269.62
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:55am ET $70.72 116 $8,203.52
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:30am ET $68.54 116 $7,950.64 $7,982.03 $-252.88
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:35am ET $69.09 115 $7,945.35
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET $70.76 115 $8,137.97 $8,174.66 +$192.63
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:00am ET $74.12 110 $8,153.20
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $75.65 110 $8,321.50 $8,342.96 +$168.30
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $75.90 109 $8,273.10
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:50am ET $77.42 109 $8,438.78 $8,508.64 +$165.68
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $79.90 106 $8,469.40
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $77.31 106 $8,194.86 $8,234.10 $-274.54
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET $77.96 105 $8,185.80
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $75.53 105 $7,930.65 $7,978.95 $-255.15
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $76.93 103 $7,923.79
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $74.14 103 $7,636.42 $7,691.58 $-287.37
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $75.44 101 $7,619.44
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:35am ET $77.06 101 $7,783.06 $7,855.20 +$163.62
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
10 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:40am ET $77.78 100 $7,778.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $79.37 100 $7,937.00 $8,014.20 +$159.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,014.20
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,985.80
Total Return: -19.86%
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