Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:19:48

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.5/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 38.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 38.5

30-Day Momentum

19
-4.0%
30d Return
78%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.7 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,980.17
Current Value
$16,297.03
Period P&L
$-683.10
Max Drawdown
-21.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
7 / 2
Best Trade
+3.10%
Worst Trade
-14.42%
Avg Trade Return
-0.30%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$287,506.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-683.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-683.10
Gross Return
-4.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $16,980.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:40am ET $418.18 40 $16,727.20
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $418.94 40 $16,757.60 $17,010.93 +$30.40
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $424.93 40 $16,997.20
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $437.00 40 $17,480.00 $17,493.73 +$482.80
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET $448.96 38 $17,060.67
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:45am ET $457.99 38 $17,403.81 $17,836.87 +$343.14
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:55am ET $479.54 37 $17,742.98
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $410.39 37 $15,184.25 $15,278.14 $-2,558.73
(-14.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $404.00 37 $14,947.94
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:00pm ET $391.69 37 $14,492.53 $14,822.73 $-455.41
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $394.80 37 $14,607.60
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET $404.95 37 $14,983.15 $15,198.28 +$375.55
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
19h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:00am ET $372.63 40 $14,905.20
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:05am ET $380.19 40 $15,207.60 $15,500.68 +$302.40
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:30am ET $383.36 40 $15,334.60
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $395.25 40 $15,810.00 $15,976.08 +$475.40
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:15am ET $384.67 41 $15,771.55
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:55am ET $392.50 41 $16,092.50 $16,297.03 +$320.95
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,297.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,297.03
Total Return: +62.97%
Back to Rebel Contraire