Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:20:19

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 10.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.6

30-Day Momentum

39
+5.7%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 49.7 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,473
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,936.29
Current Value
$9,305.36
Period P&L
$369.11
Max Drawdown
-32.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+2.16%
Worst Trade
-3.53%
Avg Trade Return
+0.82%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$125,054.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$369.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$369.11
Gross Return
+4.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,936.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $188.13 46 $8,653.98
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $192.00 46 $8,832.00 $8,979.95 +$178.02
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:25am ET $194.76 46 $8,958.73
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:10am ET $198.70 46 $9,140.20 $9,161.42 +$181.47
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:50am ET $195.90 46 $9,011.63
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $188.98 46 $8,693.08 $8,842.87 $-318.55
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $187.48 47 $8,811.56
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:15am ET $191.52 47 $9,001.67 $9,032.98 +$190.11
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:55am ET $197.96 45 $8,908.20
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:55am ET $195.51 45 $8,798.17 $8,922.95 $-110.03
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $197.23 45 $8,875.13
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $201.45 45 $9,065.03 $9,112.85 +$189.90
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:50am ET $196.88 46 $9,056.48
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 11:45am ET $201.07 46 $9,248.99 $9,305.36 +$192.51
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,305.36
Net Profit/Loss: $-694.64
Total Return: -6.95%
Back to Rebel Contraire