Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:19:59

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 5.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.7

30-Day Momentum

3
-7.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,128.68
Current Value
$4,700.20
Period P&L
$-428.46
Max Drawdown
-47.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.60

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+1.71%
Worst Trade
-3.55%
Avg Trade Return
-1.23%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$58,852.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-428.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$-428.46
Gross Return
-8.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $5,128.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 11:00am ET $24.90 203 $5,053.69
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $25.32 203 $5,139.96 $5,156.07 +$86.27
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:55am ET $25.52 202 $5,155.04
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $24.61 202 $4,972.23 $4,973.26 $-182.81
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:40am ET $24.76 200 $4,953.00
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:00am ET $23.99 200 $4,798.00 $4,818.26 $-155.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:00am ET $23.77 202 $4,801.54
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:00am ET $23.75 202 $4,797.50 $4,814.22 $-4.04
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:50am ET $24.16 199 $4,806.85
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 11:50am ET $24.32 199 $4,838.69 $4,846.06 +$31.84
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $23.73 204 $4,840.92
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $23.01 204 $4,695.06 $4,700.20 $-145.86
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,700.20
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,299.80
Total Return: -53.00%
Back to Rebel Contraire