Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:21:57

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 6.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 6.1

30-Day Momentum

2
-6.0%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,738
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,635.40
Current Value
$5,378.04
Period P&L
$-257.35
Max Drawdown
-47.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.55

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+2.08%
Worst Trade
-4.87%
Avg Trade Return
-1.22%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$56,448.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-257.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$-257.35
Gross Return
-4.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $5,635.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET $28.06 204 $5,723.22
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $27.91 204 $5,693.64 $5,694.53 $-29.58
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $27.90 204 $5,691.60
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $28.48 204 $5,809.92 $5,812.85 +$118.32
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:15am ET $29.70 195 $5,792.47
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:15am ET $29.35 195 $5,724.22 $5,744.60 $-68.25
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $31.84 180 $5,731.20
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $30.29 180 $5,452.20 $5,465.60 $-279.00
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $27.43 199 $5,458.57
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $26.99 199 $5,371.01 $5,378.04 $-87.56
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,378.04
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,621.96
Total Return: -46.22%
Back to Rebel Contraire