Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:20:01

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.5/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 25.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 25.2

30-Day Momentum

3
-6.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,210.43
Current Value
$11,430.44
Period P&L
$-779.97
Max Drawdown
-20.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.50

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+2.20%
Worst Trade
-3.21%
Avg Trade Return
-1.07%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$141,987.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-779.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$-779.97
Gross Return
-6.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,210.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $120.49 101 $12,169.49
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $116.83 101 $11,799.83 $11,840.75 $-369.66
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $116.03 102 $11,835.06
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $115.62 102 $11,793.24 $11,798.93 $-41.82
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $117.23 100 $11,723.00
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $118.36 100 $11,836.00 $11,911.93 +$113.00
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET $116.93 101 $11,809.93
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:50am ET $119.50 101 $12,069.50 $12,171.50 +$259.57
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:55am ET $119.10 102 $12,148.20
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $115.52 102 $11,783.04 $11,806.34 $-365.16
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:15am ET $111.41 105 $11,698.05
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:15am ET $107.83 105 $11,322.15 $11,430.44 $-375.90
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,430.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,430.44
Total Return: +14.30%
Back to Rebel Contraire