Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:19:59

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 10.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.1

30-Day Momentum

9
-8.7%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.2 Conf: 0.84×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$6,439.45
Current Value
$5,876.82
Period P&L
$-562.62
Max Drawdown
-46.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.39

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+2.58%
Worst Trade
-3.72%
Avg Trade Return
-1.00%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$112,297.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-562.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-562.62
Gross Return
-8.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $6,439.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:50am ET $182.12 35 $6,374.20
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:50am ET $182.27 35 $6,379.62 $6,444.86 +$5.42
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:15am ET $180.54 35 $6,318.73
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $184.41 35 $6,454.52 $6,580.66 +$135.80
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:30am ET $205.39 32 $6,572.48
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:50am ET $209.82 32 $6,714.24 $6,722.42 +$141.76
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $197.81 33 $6,527.65
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:15am ET $191.73 33 $6,327.09 $6,521.86 $-200.56
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:30am ET $190.85 34 $6,488.90
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $185.03 34 $6,291.02 $6,323.98 $-197.88
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $182.07 34 $6,190.21
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $176.57 34 $6,003.55 $6,137.32 $-186.66
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $173.51 35 $6,072.85
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $167.06 35 $5,847.10 $5,911.57 $-225.75
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:20am ET $163.49 36 $5,885.82
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $167.72 36 $6,037.92 $6,063.67 +$152.10
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET $162.15 37 $5,999.37
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $157.10 37 $5,812.52 $5,876.82 $-186.85
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,876.82
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,123.18
Total Return: -41.23%
Back to Rebel Contraire