Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:20:18

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
5.2/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 18.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 18.2

30-Day Momentum

9
-6.5%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.2 Conf: 0.84×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,038.89
Current Value
$10,325.53
Period P&L
$-713.39
Max Drawdown
-37.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+4.42%
Worst Trade
-4.33%
Avg Trade Return
-0.70%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$188,006.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-713.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$-713.39
Gross Return
-6.46%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,038.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:10am ET $666.90 16 $10,670.40
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $638.00 16 $10,208.00 $10,576.52 $-462.40
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:40am ET $655.49 16 $10,487.92
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $669.00 16 $10,704.00 $10,792.60 +$216.08
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $720.86 14 $10,092.07
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $752.71 14 $10,537.94 $11,238.47 +$445.87
(+4.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $768.47 14 $10,758.65
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $743.64 14 $10,410.96 $10,890.78 $-347.69
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:15am ET $680.05 16 $10,880.80
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:50am ET $694.87 16 $11,117.92 $11,127.90 +$237.12
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:05am ET $690.07 16 $11,041.04
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 10:55am ET $666.20 16 $10,659.20 $10,746.06 $-381.84
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:05am ET $637.55 16 $10,200.80
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $618.42 16 $9,894.72 $10,439.98 $-306.08
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $653.53 15 $9,803.02
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:55am ET $667.41 15 $10,011.15 $10,648.11 +$208.13
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:20am ET $695.01 15 $10,425.15
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:40am ET $673.51 15 $10,102.58 $10,325.53 $-322.58
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,325.53
Net Profit/Loss: +$325.53
Total Return: +3.26%
Back to Rebel Contraire