Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:21:53

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
29.2/35
Total Return
16.9/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
6.0/15
Consistency
7.6/10
Raw Quality 69.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 68.6

30-Day Momentum

13
-1.2%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.6 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-56 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,739
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$21,394.13
Current Value
$20,718.16
Period P&L
$-675.96
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+2.22%
Worst Trade
-3.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$338,930.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-675.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$-675.96
Gross Return
-3.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $21,394.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $198.16 105 $20,806.80
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $202.14 105 $21,224.70 $21,394.12 +$417.90
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET $190.47 112 $21,332.64
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $194.31 112 $21,762.72 $21,824.20 +$430.08
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $189.88 114 $21,646.32
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $186.31 114 $21,239.34 $21,417.22 $-406.98
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET $185.91 115 $21,379.65
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $179.80 115 $20,677.00 $20,714.57 $-702.65
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:15am ET $184.82 112 $20,700.40
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $188.92 112 $21,159.04 $21,173.21 +$458.64
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET $186.56 113 $21,081.28
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $188.25 113 $21,272.25 $21,364.18 +$190.97
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $191.82 111 $21,292.02
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $192.62 111 $21,380.82 $21,452.98 +$88.80
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $192.39 111 $21,355.29
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $185.77 111 $20,620.47 $20,718.16 $-734.82
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,718.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,718.16
Total Return: +107.18%
Back to Rebel Contraire