Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 03:36:06

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
8.8/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 21.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 21.6

30-Day Momentum

46
+8.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 50.2 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+25 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,196.01
Current Value
$11,059.12
Period P&L
$863.23
Max Drawdown
-32.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+5.95%
Worst Trade
-3.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.71%
Avg Hold Time
17.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$242,627.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$863.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$863.23
Gross Return
+8.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,196.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $75.83 134 $10,161.89
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 10:25am ET $73.56 134 $9,856.37 $9,913.82 $-305.52
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:35am ET $74.82 132 $9,876.24
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 2:25pm ET $76.32 132 $10,074.24 $10,111.82 +$198.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:05am ET $88.14 114 $10,048.53
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:10am ET $89.94 114 $10,253.16 $10,316.45 +$204.63
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:55am ET $91.01 113 $10,284.13
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET $87.64 113 $9,903.32 $9,935.64 $-380.81
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $83.92 118 $9,901.97
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:05am ET $85.60 118 $10,100.21 $10,133.88 +$198.24
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:05am ET $84.45 119 $10,049.55
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:25pm ET $81.81 119 $9,735.39 $9,819.72 $-314.16
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:40pm ET $85.10 115 $9,785.93
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET $87.36 115 $10,046.68 $10,080.47 +$260.75
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:55am ET $90.42 111 $10,036.62
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $87.11 111 $9,669.21 $9,713.06 $-367.41
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:50pm ET $89.15 108 $9,628.20
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $91.10 108 $9,838.80 $9,923.66 +$210.60
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:25pm ET $93.33 106 $9,892.98
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $98.89 106 $10,481.81 $10,512.49 +$588.83
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:55am ET $95.69 109 $10,430.20
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET $98.56 109 $10,742.50 $10,824.79 +$312.30
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:15am ET $104.83 103 $10,797.49
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:45am ET $107.11 103 $11,031.82 $11,059.12 +$234.33
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,059.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,059.12
Total Return: +10.59%
Back to Rebel Contraire