Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:58:55

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

50
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.5/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 51.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 50.4

30-Day Momentum

46
+6.6%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 56.2 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,216.66
Current Value
$16,221.58
Period P&L
$1,004.97
Max Drawdown
-11.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
6 / 2
Best Trade
+3.13%
Worst Trade
-3.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.83%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$256,628.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,004.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,004.97
Gross Return
+6.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $15,216.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $242.69 62 $15,046.61
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $248.95 62 $15,434.90 $15,604.90 +$388.29
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $236.43 66 $15,604.38
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET $241.20 66 $15,918.87 $15,919.39 +$314.49
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:25am ET $243.82 65 $15,848.30
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $249.01 65 $16,185.65 $16,256.74 +$337.35
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET $252.23 64 $16,142.66
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:55am ET $258.02 64 $16,513.28 $16,627.36 +$370.62
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:45am ET $255.86 64 $16,375.04
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $247.95 64 $15,868.80 $16,121.12 $-506.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:50pm ET $230.88 69 $15,930.38
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $232.34 69 $16,031.12 $16,221.86 +$100.74
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 3:35pm ET $227.88 71 $16,179.13
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $235.00 71 $16,685.00 $16,727.74 +$505.88
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
8 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:40am ET $231.74 72 $16,685.28
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $224.71 72 $16,179.12 $16,221.58 $-506.16
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,221.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,221.58
Total Return: +62.22%
Back to Rebel Contraire