Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 10:20:23

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
10.1/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 23.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 23.3

30-Day Momentum

7
-9.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,727
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,369.53
Current Value
$11,536.12
Period P&L
$-833.42
Max Drawdown
-33.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.38

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+4.48%
Worst Trade
-3.44%
Avg Trade Return
-1.13%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$198,613.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-833.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$-833.42
Gross Return
-6.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,369.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:45am ET $934.46 13 $12,147.98
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $902.29 13 $11,729.77 $12,353.55 $-418.21
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 12:20pm ET $957.84 12 $11,494.08
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:20pm ET $930.47 12 $11,165.64 $12,025.11 $-328.44
(-2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $935.60 12 $11,227.20
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:55am ET $904.37 12 $10,852.44 $11,650.35 $-374.76
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:55am ET $899.79 12 $10,797.54
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $919.93 12 $11,039.16 $11,891.97 +$241.62
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:50am ET $913.46 13 $11,874.98
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $884.98 13 $11,504.74 $11,521.73 $-370.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET $917.75 12 $11,013.00
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $889.48 12 $10,673.76 $11,182.49 $-339.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:30am ET $878.43 12 $10,541.22
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $851.74 12 $10,220.88 $10,862.15 $-320.34
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:15pm ET $932.26 11 $10,254.81
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $973.99 11 $10,713.94 $11,321.29 +$459.14
(+4.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
9 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:50am ET $961.27 11 $10,573.97
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:15am ET $980.80 11 $10,788.80 $11,536.12 +$214.83
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,536.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,536.12
Total Return: +15.36%
Back to Rebel Contraire