Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:59:00

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 29.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 28.6

30-Day Momentum

59
+10.6%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
8
Trades
2.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 72.7 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+30 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,222.32
Current Value
$12,407.73
Period P&L
$1,185.44
Max Drawdown
-19.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.61

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
6 / 2
Best Trade
+4.09%
Worst Trade
-3.38%
Avg Trade Return
+1.31%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$193,501.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,185.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,185.44
Gross Return
+10.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,222.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $369.57 30 $11,086.95
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $384.69 30 $11,540.70 $11,676.04 +$453.75
(+4.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET $368.73 31 $11,430.63
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET $377.73 31 $11,709.78 $11,955.19 +$279.15
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:00am ET $391.62 30 $11,748.60
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $400.89 30 $12,026.70 $12,233.29 +$278.10
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:05am ET $414.36 29 $12,016.30
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $424.78 29 $12,318.62 $12,535.61 +$302.32
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET $419.52 29 $12,166.08
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:45am ET $428.24 29 $12,418.96 $12,788.49 +$252.88
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $420.27 30 $12,608.25
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:45am ET $423.65 30 $12,709.65 $12,889.89 +$101.40
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:05am ET $424.58 30 $12,737.40
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $410.24 30 $12,307.20 $12,459.69 $-430.20
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
8 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $412.13 30 $12,363.90
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:00am ET $410.40 30 $12,311.94 $12,407.73 $-51.96
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,407.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,407.73
Total Return: +24.08%
Back to Rebel Contraire