Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:58:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 9.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 8.9

30-Day Momentum

35
+4.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.3 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$6,392.30
Current Value
$6,783.37
Period P&L
$391.07
Max Drawdown
-39.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+4.72%
Worst Trade
-5.89%
Avg Trade Return
+0.39%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$161,158.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$391.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$391.07
Gross Return
+6.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $6,392.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $6.24 1,042 $6,507.29
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:55am ET $6.05 1,042 $6,304.00 $6,308.52 $-203.29
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $6.43 980 $6,302.38
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $6.57 980 $6,438.60 $6,444.74 +$136.22
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:45am ET $6.39 1,007 $6,439.76
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:10am ET $6.54 1,007 $6,584.37 $6,589.35 +$144.61
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $6.50 1,013 $6,585.21
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $6.64 1,013 $6,726.22 $6,730.36 +$141.01
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $6.47 1,040 $6,728.70
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $6.65 1,040 $6,914.96 $6,916.62 +$186.26
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET $6.86 1,007 $6,913.05
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $6.64 1,007 $6,686.48 $6,690.05 $-226.57
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:45am ET $6.49 1,030 $6,689.85
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET $6.29 1,030 $6,478.70 $6,478.90 $-211.15
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $6.22 1,041 $6,475.02
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $6.35 1,041 $6,610.25 $6,614.13 +$135.23
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $6.30 1,049 $6,611.43
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $6.60 1,049 $6,923.40 $6,926.10 +$311.97
(+4.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $6.26 1,106 $6,923.23
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $6.39 1,106 $7,061.81 $7,064.68 +$138.58
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $5.93 1,192 $7,062.60
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:00am ET $6.05 1,192 $7,205.64 $7,207.72 +$143.04
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:15am ET $6.07 1,187 $7,205.09
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $5.71 1,187 $6,780.74 $6,783.37 $-424.35
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,783.37
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,216.63
Total Return: -32.17%
Back to Rebel Contraire