Compendium › Rebel Contraire › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 8 trades in period

-17.16%
Last Month Return
$18,503.28
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$22,337.44
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:20:18

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.4/35
Total Return
16.1/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 39.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 39.0

30-Day Momentum

6
-18.7%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$22,337.44
Current Value
$18,503.28
Period P&L
$-3,834.16
Max Drawdown
-35.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+2.10%
Worst Trade
-6.35%
Avg Trade Return
-2.50%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$326,374.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,834.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,834.16
Gross Return
-17.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $22,337.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:45am ET $223.94 101 $22,617.54 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 10:05am ET $216.26 101 $21,842.26 $21,974.85 $-775.28
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:10am ET $214.87 102 $21,916.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $215.76 102 $22,008.03 $22,066.14 +$91.29
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET $229.21 96 $22,003.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $221.96 96 $21,308.64 $21,371.10 $-695.04
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET $229.21 96 $22,003.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $214.65 96 $20,606.40 $19,973.82 $-1,397.28
(-6.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $214.46 93 $19,945.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:35am ET $207.78 93 $19,323.54 $19,352.12 $-621.70
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:35am ET $207.43 93 $19,290.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $200.29 93 $18,626.97 $18,688.56 $-663.56
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $202.75 92 $18,653.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:20am ET $207.00 92 $19,044.00 $19,079.56 +$391.00
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $212.14 89 $18,880.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $205.66 89 $18,304.18 $18,503.28 $-576.28
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,503.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,503.28
Total Return: +85.03%
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