Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:25:14

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.5/35
Total Return
14.9/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 42.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 41.9

30-Day Momentum

32
+3.5%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.6 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,557.64
Current Value
$16,100.01
Period P&L
$542.39
Max Drawdown
-18.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
7 / 4
Best Trade
+3.20%
Worst Trade
-3.65%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$356,705.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$542.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$542.39
Gross Return
+3.49%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $15,557.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $162.24 95 $15,412.80
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $165.97 95 $15,766.84 $15,911.66 +$354.04
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:50am ET $166.80 95 $15,846.47
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $161.76 95 $15,366.73 $15,431.91 $-479.75
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:15am ET $158.60 97 $15,384.20
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 1:40pm ET $161.79 97 $15,694.11 $15,741.82 +$309.91
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $160.35 98 $15,714.30
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $164.60 98 $16,130.80 $16,158.32 +$416.50
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET $165.11 97 $16,015.67
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $170.40 97 $16,528.80 $16,671.45 +$513.13
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $167.46 99 $16,579.03
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $171.67 99 $16,995.63 $17,088.04 +$416.59
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:35am ET $178.65 95 $16,971.28
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $172.88 95 $16,423.60 $16,540.37 $-547.67
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:00am ET $175.51 94 $16,497.94
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $179.37 94 $16,860.78 $16,903.21 +$362.84
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:20am ET $183.62 92 $16,893.04
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $176.91 92 $16,275.72 $16,285.89 $-617.32
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $178.55 91 $16,248.50
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:50am ET $182.40 91 $16,598.85 $16,636.24 +$350.35
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
11 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $185.60 89 $16,518.40
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:40am ET $179.57 89 $15,982.17 $16,100.01 $-536.23
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,100.01
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,100.01
Total Return: +61.00%
Back to Rebel Contraire