Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:26:34

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.8/35
Total Return
15.8/25
Win Rate
8.5/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 47.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 47.3

30-Day Momentum

50
+8.3%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 57.8 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,744.49
Current Value
$17,865.07
Period P&L
$1,120.60
Max Drawdown
-18.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
8 / 2
Best Trade
+2.95%
Worst Trade
-4.98%
Avg Trade Return
+0.84%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$350,125.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,120.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,120.60
Gross Return
+6.69%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $16,744.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:20am ET $248.73 66 $16,416.19
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:40am ET $256.08 66 $16,900.95 $16,973.16 +$484.76
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:30am ET $252.73 67 $16,932.91
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:10am ET $258.17 67 $17,297.39 $17,337.64 +$364.48
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:45am ET $247.90 69 $17,105.10
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:55am ET $252.89 69 $17,449.41 $17,681.95 +$344.31
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:15am ET $269.09 65 $17,490.86
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $275.11 65 $17,882.47 $18,073.57 +$391.62
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $292.79 61 $17,860.19
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $299.01 61 $18,239.61 $18,452.99 +$379.42
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 2:40pm ET $294.64 62 $18,267.68
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $279.96 62 $17,357.52 $17,542.83 $-910.16
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $273.93 64 $17,531.84
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:20pm ET $280.49 64 $17,951.36 $17,962.35 +$419.52
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:35am ET $266.34 67 $17,844.78
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $258.17 67 $17,297.06 $17,414.63 $-547.72
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $265.22 65 $17,239.30
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:25am ET $271.20 65 $17,628.00 $17,803.33 +$388.70
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:15pm ET $280.72 63 $17,685.36
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $281.70 63 $17,747.10 $17,865.07 +$61.74
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,865.07
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,865.07
Total Return: +78.65%
Back to Rebel Contraire