Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:21:39

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.4/35
Total Return
7.3/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 19.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 19.5

30-Day Momentum

7
-0.6%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.4 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,631.22
Current Value
$10,649.45
Period P&L
$18.24
Max Drawdown
-16.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+2.16%
Worst Trade
-3.53%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$104,544.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$18.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$18.24
Gross Return
+0.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,631.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $150.76 71 $10,703.61
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $149.72 71 $10,630.12 $10,640.44 $-73.49
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:00am ET $147.83 71 $10,495.93
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $142.61 71 $10,125.31 $10,269.82 $-370.62
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:10am ET $141.83 72 $10,211.76
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $144.89 72 $10,432.08 $10,490.14 +$220.32
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:10am ET $143.29 73 $10,460.17
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:10am ET $143.84 73 $10,500.32 $10,530.29 +$40.15
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:55am ET $144.90 72 $10,432.80
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 11:55am ET $146.55 72 $10,551.96 $10,649.45 +$119.16
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,649.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$649.45
Total Return: +6.49%
Back to Rebel Contraire