Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:18:02

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

44
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.2/35
Total Return
16.3/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 44.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 43.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-6.3%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.2 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-35 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$20,340.73
Current Value
$19,050.53
Period P&L
$-1,290.21
Max Drawdown
-26.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+2.84%
Worst Trade
-3.33%
Avg Trade Return
-0.68%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$349,930.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,290.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,290.21
Gross Return
-6.34%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $20,340.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:05am ET $136.50 149 $20,338.50
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $132.29 149 $19,711.95 $19,714.19 $-626.55
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:40am ET $136.75 144 $19,692.00
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:45am ET $140.10 144 $20,174.40 $20,196.59 +$482.40
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $155.47 129 $20,055.64
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $159.88 129 $20,624.52 $20,765.47 +$568.88
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $157.10 132 $20,737.20
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET $151.87 132 $20,046.18 $20,074.45 $-691.02
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:30am ET $145.45 138 $20,071.41
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:30am ET $141.03 138 $19,462.14 $19,465.18 $-609.27
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET $138.24 140 $19,354.30
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:20am ET $133.69 140 $18,716.60 $18,827.48 $-637.70
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET $132.21 142 $18,773.58
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET $127.85 142 $18,154.70 $18,208.60 $-618.88
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:35am ET $129.32 140 $18,104.80
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:10am ET $132.05 140 $18,487.00 $18,590.80 +$382.20
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:45am ET $131.08 141 $18,482.91
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $134.35 141 $18,942.65 $19,050.53 +$459.73
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,050.53
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,050.53
Total Return: +90.51%
Back to Rebel Contraire