Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:19:29

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.9/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 35.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 34.6

30-Day Momentum

3
-6.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-31 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,769.01
Current Value
$13,881.57
Period P&L
$-887.45
Max Drawdown
-19.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.42

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+2.51%
Worst Trade
-3.21%
Avg Trade Return
-1.02%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$167,925.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-887.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$-887.45
Gross Return
-6.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,769.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $188.75 78 $14,722.50
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:25am ET $182.81 78 $14,259.18 $14,315.06 $-463.32
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $181.39 78 $14,148.42
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $175.66 78 $13,701.87 $13,868.51 $-446.55
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $174.47 79 $13,783.13
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET $178.85 79 $14,128.76 $14,214.14 +$345.63
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:50am ET $178.45 79 $14,097.55
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET $172.73 79 $13,645.28 $13,761.87 $-452.27
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:30am ET $180.48 76 $13,716.48
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $184.27 76 $14,004.90 $14,050.29 +$288.42
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:10am ET $183.46 76 $13,942.96
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:10am ET $181.24 76 $13,774.24 $13,881.57 $-168.72
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,881.57
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,881.57
Total Return: +38.82%
Back to Rebel Contraire