Compendium › Rebel Contraire › RBLX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RBLX
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-07 to present • 13 trades in period

-25.01%
Last Month Return
$13,729.87
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$18,309.20
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:18:09

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.5/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 30.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 30.8

30-Day Momentum

13
-26.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,762
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$18,309.20
Current Value
$13,729.87
Period P&L
$-4,579.28
Max Drawdown
-34.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+2.95%
Worst Trade
-23.77%
Avg Trade Return
-1.91%
Avg Hold Time
20.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$441,122.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,579.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,579.28
Gross Return
-25.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-25.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $18,309.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:00am ET $56.22 325 $18,271.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 1:45pm ET $57.47 325 $18,677.75 $18,715.40 +$406.25
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $56.71 330 $18,714.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $54.63 330 $18,027.90 $18,029.00 $-686.40
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $54.57 330 $18,008.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:00am ET $52.92 330 $17,461.95 $17,482.85 $-546.15
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $58.56 298 $17,450.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $60.29 298 $17,966.42 $17,998.39 +$515.54
(+3.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:05am ET $60.31 298 $17,972.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $61.79 298 $18,413.42 $18,439.43 +$441.04
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $60.60 304 $18,423.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $61.87 304 $18,808.48 $18,823.99 +$384.56
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $61.76 304 $18,775.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $59.85 304 $18,195.92 $18,244.87 $-579.12
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $53.84 338 $18,197.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 1:45pm ET $55.10 338 $18,622.11 $18,669.06 +$424.19
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $57.51 324 $18,633.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $54.53 324 $17,669.34 $17,705.16 $-963.90
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $55.78 317 $17,682.26 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $42.52 317 $13,478.84 $13,501.74 $-4,203.42
(-23.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
11 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $45.03 299 $13,462.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $46.23 299 $13,822.77 $13,862.03 +$360.29
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:40am ET $45.87 302 $13,851.23 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $44.48 302 $13,432.96 $13,443.76 $-418.27
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
13 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 3:05pm ET $43.81 306 $13,407.39 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $44.75 306 $13,693.50 $13,729.87 +$286.11
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,729.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,729.87
Total Return: +37.30%
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