Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:17:33

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 9.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 9.7

30-Day Momentum

16
-3.0%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,762
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$4,998.28
Current Value
$4,848.98
Period P&L
$-149.26
Max Drawdown
-60.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+2.38%
Worst Trade
-4.55%
Avg Trade Return
-0.21%
Avg Hold Time
23.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$123,302.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-149.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-149.26
Gross Return
-2.99%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.99%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $4,998.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $15.10 331 $4,998.10
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:40am ET $14.62 331 $4,839.22 $4,839.36 $-158.88
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $15.35 315 $4,833.68
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $15.71 315 $4,948.65 $4,954.33 +$114.97
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:15am ET $15.53 319 $4,954.07
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 1:40pm ET $15.86 319 $5,060.93 $5,061.20 +$106.87
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $15.94 317 $5,053.04
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:00am ET $16.26 317 $5,156.00 $5,164.16 +$102.96
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $16.98 304 $5,160.40
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $17.32 304 $5,265.28 $5,269.04 +$104.88
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $16.83 312 $5,252.52
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET $17.19 312 $5,361.88 $5,378.40 +$109.36
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET $17.56 306 $5,371.83
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $17.92 306 $5,483.52 $5,490.09 +$111.69
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $17.12 320 $5,478.40
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:05am ET $16.50 320 $5,280.00 $5,291.69 $-198.40
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:55am ET $16.67 317 $5,285.97
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET $16.14 317 $5,114.80 $5,120.51 $-171.18
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:05am ET $15.98 320 $5,112.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET $16.34 320 $5,228.80 $5,237.31 +$116.80
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:30am ET $15.40 340 $5,236.00
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $14.70 340 $4,997.97 $4,999.28 $-238.03
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 11:15am ET $14.94 334 $4,989.96
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $14.49 334 $4,839.66 $4,848.98 $-150.30
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,848.98
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,151.02
Total Return: -51.51%
Back to Rebel Contraire