Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:21:50

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 12.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 12.0

30-Day Momentum

67
+22.7%
30d Return
82%
Win Rate
11
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 74.0 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+55 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,739
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,414.29
Current Value
$9,291.66
Period P&L
$1,877.37
Max Drawdown
-63.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.41

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
9 / 2
Best Trade
+11.17%
Worst Trade
-8.62%
Avg Trade Return
+2.00%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$182,844.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,877.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,877.37
Gross Return
+25.32%
Net Return (after fees)
+25.32%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $7,414.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET $22.49 336 $7,556.64
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $24.03 336 $8,074.08 $8,089.65 +$517.44
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET $23.44 345 $8,086.80
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $23.94 345 $8,261.02 $8,263.87 +$174.22
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $24.51 337 $8,261.22
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET $25.00 337 $8,426.68 $8,429.34 +$165.47
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:05am ET $27.28 308 $8,402.24
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:10am ET $27.91 308 $8,596.28 $8,623.38 +$194.04
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $28.33 304 $8,613.84
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $29.08 304 $8,840.32 $8,849.86 +$226.48
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:45am ET $29.01 305 $8,848.08
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $26.51 305 $8,085.55 $8,087.33 $-762.53
(-8.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:00am ET $28.17 287 $8,086.20
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:40am ET $28.92 287 $8,298.61 $8,299.74 +$212.41
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:00am ET $27.91 297 $8,289.27
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $26.73 297 $7,937.33 $7,947.80 $-351.94
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $25.88 307 $7,945.16
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:15pm ET $26.49 307 $8,130.90 $8,133.54 +$185.74
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:30pm ET $27.35 297 $8,122.95
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $28.11 297 $8,348.67 $8,359.26 +$225.72
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
11 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:00am ET $28.21 296 $8,350.16
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $31.36 296 $9,282.56 $9,291.66 +$932.40
(+11.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,291.66
Net Profit/Loss: $-708.34
Total Return: -7.08%
Back to Rebel Contraire