Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:24:36

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 10.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.4

30-Day Momentum

14
-1.7%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.5 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,690.41
Current Value
$7,470.13
Period P&L
$-220.28
Max Drawdown
-43.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+4.69%
Worst Trade
-4.66%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$167,712.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-220.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-220.28
Gross Return
-2.86%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $7,690.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 11:15am ET $15.50 490 $7,594.95
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:45am ET $15.90 490 $7,793.45 $7,798.21 +$198.50
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:40am ET $16.12 483 $7,785.96
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:05am ET $16.51 483 $7,974.33 $7,986.58 +$188.37
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:15am ET $16.57 481 $7,970.17
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:40pm ET $16.92 481 $8,139.19 $8,155.60 +$169.02
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $18.39 443 $8,146.73
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $17.74 443 $7,859.66 $7,868.54 $-287.06
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $17.92 438 $7,851.15
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $17.09 438 $7,485.16 $7,502.55 $-365.99
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:45am ET $17.02 440 $7,491.00
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $16.46 440 $7,242.40 $7,253.95 $-248.60
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $16.48 440 $7,249.00
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET $16.85 440 $7,416.20 $7,421.15 +$167.20
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:20am ET $16.43 451 $7,409.97
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $15.94 451 $7,186.69 $7,197.86 $-223.29
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $16.53 435 $7,190.55
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $17.31 435 $7,527.68 $7,534.98 +$337.12
(+4.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:10am ET $17.55 429 $7,526.85
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $17.95 429 $7,702.69 $7,710.83 +$175.85
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $18.57 415 $7,704.48
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $17.99 415 $7,463.78 $7,470.13 $-240.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,470.13
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,529.87
Total Return: -25.30%
Back to Rebel Contraire