Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:22:19

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
6.6/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 19.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 19.2

30-Day Momentum

13
+0.0%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.9 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,511.67
Current Value
$10,515.85
Period P&L
$4.18
Max Drawdown
-29.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+2.19%
Worst Trade
-5.68%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$166,695.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$4.18
Gross Return
+0.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,511.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $37.67 279 $10,509.96
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $37.12 279 $10,356.70 $10,358.41 $-153.26
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:00am ET $37.19 278 $10,337.43
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $36.06 278 $10,023.29 $10,044.27 $-314.14
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 2:50pm ET $36.02 278 $10,013.56
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $36.76 278 $10,219.25 $10,249.96 +$205.69
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $36.26 282 $10,225.32
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $36.99 282 $10,431.18 $10,455.82 +$205.86
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:20pm ET $38.19 273 $10,424.51
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $39.02 273 $10,652.46 $10,683.77 +$227.95
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $40.07 266 $10,658.62
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $40.94 266 $10,888.71 $10,913.86 +$230.09
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:20pm ET $39.12 279 $10,913.09
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $36.90 279 $10,293.71 $10,294.48 $-619.38
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET $36.40 282 $10,263.39
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $37.18 282 $10,484.76 $10,515.85 +$221.37
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,515.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$515.85
Total Return: +5.16%
Back to Rebel Contraire