Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:23:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
6.7/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 19.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 19.1

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.4%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.2 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,946.83
Current Value
$10,533.30
Period P&L
$-413.53
Max Drawdown
-29.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+2.42%
Worst Trade
-3.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.36%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$193,943.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-413.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$-413.53
Gross Return
-3.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,946.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $55.22 197 $10,878.34
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $56.47 197 $11,124.59 $11,151.71 +$246.25
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:55am ET $50.68 220 $11,149.60
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:55am ET $49.76 220 $10,948.30 $10,950.41 $-201.30
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:25pm ET $46.74 234 $10,936.57
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $45.27 234 $10,593.18 $10,607.02 $-343.39
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $44.13 240 $10,592.40
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET $43.79 240 $10,509.60 $10,524.22 $-82.80
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:25am ET $43.44 242 $10,512.48
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $44.33 242 $10,726.65 $10,738.39 +$214.17
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:45pm ET $42.98 249 $10,702.04
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:35pm ET $43.85 249 $10,918.65 $10,955.00 +$216.61
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $42.58 257 $10,941.78
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $41.21 257 $10,590.97 $10,604.19 $-350.81
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
8 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:20am ET $41.67 254 $10,584.18
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $42.68 254 $10,840.72 $10,860.73 +$256.54
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:25pm ET $41.29 263 $10,860.58
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:35am ET $40.05 263 $10,533.15 $10,533.30 $-327.43
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,533.30
Net Profit/Loss: +$533.30
Total Return: +5.33%
Back to Rebel Contraire