Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:27:06

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 9.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 8.9

30-Day Momentum

14
-8.0%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.5 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,753.63
Current Value
$5,291.87
Period P&L
$-461.66
Max Drawdown
-53.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+2.69%
Worst Trade
-6.50%
Avg Trade Return
-0.71%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$117,854.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-461.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-461.66
Gross Return
-8.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $5,753.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $41.41 138 $5,714.75
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $40.01 138 $5,521.46 $5,560.25 $-193.28
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:40am ET $39.60 140 $5,544.00
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:00pm ET $38.36 140 $5,370.39 $5,386.64 $-173.61
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:30pm ET $38.10 141 $5,372.10
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $36.94 141 $5,207.92 $5,222.46 $-164.18
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:30pm ET $38.10 141 $5,372.10
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $38.25 141 $5,393.25 $5,243.61 +$21.15
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:10am ET $40.03 130 $5,204.16
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:35am ET $40.88 130 $5,314.40 $5,353.85 +$110.24
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:45am ET $40.21 133 $5,347.92
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $41.25 133 $5,486.25 $5,492.18 +$138.33
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $43.32 126 $5,458.46
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $44.45 126 $5,600.69 $5,634.41 +$142.23
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:15am ET $44.00 128 $5,632.00
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $42.16 128 $5,396.48 $5,398.89 $-235.52
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:40pm ET $39.84 135 $5,378.31
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $37.25 135 $5,028.75 $5,049.33 $-349.56
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $36.33 138 $5,013.54
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $37.09 138 $5,118.42 $5,154.21 +$104.88
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 11:20am ET $37.93 135 $5,120.56
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $38.95 135 $5,258.22 $5,291.87 +$137.66
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,291.87
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,708.13
Total Return: -47.08%
Back to Rebel Contraire