Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:24:35

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 10.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.0

30-Day Momentum

13
-0.1%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.6 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,367.25
Current Value
$8,239.76
Period P&L
$-127.45
Max Drawdown
-23.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+3.03%
Worst Trade
-3.29%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$131,102.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-127.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$-127.45
Gross Return
-1.52%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,367.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:05am ET $444.03 18 $7,992.54
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:45am ET $453.80 18 $8,168.40 $8,420.49 +$175.86
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:00am ET $448.79 18 $8,078.22
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $462.37 18 $8,322.66 $8,664.93 +$244.44
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:15am ET $488.64 17 $8,306.80
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:00pm ET $498.55 17 $8,475.27 $8,833.40 +$168.47
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $493.07 17 $8,382.11
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $478.05 17 $8,126.85 $8,578.14 $-255.26
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $493.07 17 $8,382.11
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $476.85 17 $8,106.45 $8,302.49 $-275.65
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:50am ET $475.25 17 $8,079.25
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET $486.39 17 $8,268.63 $8,491.87 +$189.38
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:35am ET $490.57 17 $8,339.69
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET $475.07 17 $8,076.19 $8,228.37 $-263.50
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $470.17 17 $7,992.89
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $470.84 17 $8,004.28 $8,239.76 +$11.39
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,239.76
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,760.24
Total Return: -17.60%
Back to Rebel Contraire