Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:23:18

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.3/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 29.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 29.3

30-Day Momentum

21
+0.9%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.0 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,552.76
Current Value
$13,530.45
Period P&L
$-22.32
Max Drawdown
-37.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
6 / 4
Best Trade
+2.72%
Worst Trade
-3.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$269,470.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-22.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-22.32
Gross Return
-0.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,552.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:45am ET $421.92 31 $13,079.52
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:40pm ET $430.96 31 $13,359.62 $13,684.38 +$280.10
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $430.88 31 $13,357.28
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $442.62 31 $13,721.15 $14,048.25 +$363.87
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:10am ET $437.91 32 $14,013.12
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $424.59 32 $13,586.88 $13,622.01 $-426.24
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:15am ET $421.81 32 $13,497.92
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:40am ET $430.67 32 $13,781.50 $13,905.59 +$283.58
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:35am ET $418.21 33 $13,801.09
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:55am ET $405.39 33 $13,377.87 $13,482.37 $-423.22
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:20am ET $402.20 33 $13,272.60
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $410.47 33 $13,545.48 $13,755.25 +$272.88
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $395.61 34 $13,450.74
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $382.72 34 $13,012.48 $13,316.99 $-438.26
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:50pm ET $385.54 34 $13,108.36
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $393.95 34 $13,394.30 $13,602.93 +$285.94
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:20pm ET $401.60 33 $13,252.64
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $412.36 33 $13,607.88 $13,958.17 +$355.24
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:10am ET $407.02 34 $13,838.68
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $394.44 34 $13,410.96 $13,530.45 $-427.72
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,530.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,530.45
Total Return: +35.30%
Back to Rebel Contraire