Compendium › Rebel Contraire › V
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
V
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 5 trades in period

-0.47%
Last Month Return
$13,172.77
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$13,235.05
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:22:06

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.4/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 35.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 35.1

30-Day Momentum

2
-0.7%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,235.05
Current Value
$13,172.77
Period P&L
$-62.27
Max Drawdown
-11.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+2.06%
Worst Trade
-2.58%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$128,184.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-62.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-62.27
Gross Return
-0.47%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,235.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:20am ET $332.65 39 $12,973.35 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $326.69 39 $12,740.91 $13,033.02 $-232.44
(-1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:10am ET $330.07 39 $12,872.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 11:10am ET $321.55 39 $12,540.45 $12,700.74 $-332.28
(-2.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $315.44 40 $12,617.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:50am ET $321.93 40 $12,877.40 $12,960.54 +$259.80
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:35am ET $322.14 40 $12,885.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:35am ET $321.03 40 $12,841.20 $12,916.14 $-44.40
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET $319.73 40 $12,789.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 12:05pm ET $326.15 40 $13,046.03 $13,172.77 +$256.63
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,172.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,172.77
Total Return: +31.73%
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