Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:23:21

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
6.5/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 19.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 19.3

30-Day Momentum

2
-1.9%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,833.16
Current Value
$10,500.07
Period P&L
$-333.08
Max Drawdown
-15.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+2.74%
Worst Trade
-3.29%
Avg Trade Return
-0.37%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$105,841.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-333.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-333.08
Gross Return
-3.07%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,833.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:10am ET $47.88 223 $10,676.13
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $48.42 223 $10,797.66 $10,828.69 +$121.53
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:55am ET $48.36 223 $10,784.28
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:55am ET $47.75 223 $10,648.25 $10,692.66 $-136.03
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:00am ET $47.33 225 $10,648.13
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:05am ET $45.77 225 $10,298.25 $10,342.78 $-349.88
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:50am ET $45.18 228 $10,301.04
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $46.42 228 $10,583.76 $10,625.50 +$282.72
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 10:35am ET $47.81 222 $10,614.93
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:35am ET $47.25 222 $10,489.50 $10,500.07 $-125.43
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,500.07
Net Profit/Loss: +$500.07
Total Return: +5.00%
Back to Rebel Contraire