Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:19:47

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
53.8 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+1.0%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.1/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 37.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 36.8

30-Day Momentum

54
+9.2%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
8.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 72.6 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+17 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,155.67
Current Value
$14,112.09
Period P&L
$956.45
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
1.23

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
5 / 1
Best Trade
+2.78%
Worst Trade
-0.66%
Avg Trade Return
+1.49%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$160,287.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$956.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$956.45
Gross Return
+7.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WFC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,155.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:15am ET $75.08 172 $12,913.76
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:45am ET $76.76 172 $13,201.88 $13,208.12 +$288.12
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:50am ET $77.36 170 $13,151.20
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $76.85 170 $13,064.50 $13,121.42 $-86.70
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $78.25 167 $13,067.75
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $79.98 167 $13,356.66 $13,410.33 +$288.91
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:20am ET $82.04 163 $13,372.52
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:20am ET $82.35 163 $13,423.05 $13,460.86 +$50.53
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET $81.17 165 $13,393.05
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $82.82 165 $13,665.30 $13,733.11 +$272.25
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $83.74 163 $13,649.62
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET $86.07 163 $14,028.60 $14,112.09 +$378.98
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,112.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,112.09
Total Return: +41.12%
Back to Rebel Contraire