Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:23:13

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.1/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 49.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 48.2

30-Day Momentum

36
+4.5%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.3 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,050.28
Current Value
$16,369.05
Period P&L
$318.82
Max Drawdown
-13.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
6 / 2
Best Trade
+2.55%
Worst Trade
-4.00%
Avg Trade Return
+0.59%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$259,570.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$318.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$318.82
Gross Return
+1.99%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.99%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $16,050.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:00am ET $161.20 97 $15,636.40
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $165.30 97 $16,034.58 $16,054.59 +$398.18
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:15am ET $153.81 104 $15,996.24
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $157.02 104 $16,330.08 $16,388.43 +$333.84
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $153.77 106 $16,299.62
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $147.62 106 $15,647.72 $15,736.53 $-651.90
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $148.01 106 $15,689.06
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET $151.23 106 $16,030.38 $16,077.85 +$341.32
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:55am ET $143.90 111 $15,972.90
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $147.34 111 $16,354.74 $16,459.69 +$381.84
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $148.13 111 $16,442.43
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $149.15 111 $16,556.20 $16,573.46 +$113.77
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:50am ET $151.90 109 $16,556.56
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:05am ET $155.00 109 $16,895.00 $16,911.90 +$338.44
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:20am ET $153.05 110 $16,835.50
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:15am ET $148.12 110 $16,292.65 $16,369.05 $-542.85
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,369.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,369.05
Total Return: +63.69%
Back to Rebel Contraire