Compendium › Rebel Contraire › CRM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CRM
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 27 trades in period

-12.56%
Last 3 Months Return
$5,876.82
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$6,721.02
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:19:47

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 10.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.1

30-Day Momentum

9
-8.7%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.2 Conf: 0.84×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,721.02
Current Value
$5,876.82
Period P&L
$-844.19
Max Drawdown
-46.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
14 / 13
Best Trade
+4.06%
Worst Trade
-6.55%
Avg Trade Return
-0.46%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$341,983.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-844.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$-844.19
Gross Return
-12.56%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $6,721.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:35am ET $195.55 34 $6,648.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $188.99 34 $6,425.66 $6,497.97 $-223.04
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:00am ET $184.26 35 $6,449.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:00am ET $182.50 35 $6,387.50 $6,436.20 $-61.77
(-1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:00pm ET $186.10 34 $6,327.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $187.54 34 $6,376.36 $6,484.99 +$48.79
(+0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $184.76 35 $6,466.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:35pm ET $178.92 35 $6,262.20 $6,280.41 $-204.58
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $166.70 37 $6,167.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET $171.01 37 $6,327.26 $6,439.77 +$159.36
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:20am ET $173.95 37 $6,435.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:30am ET $177.50 37 $6,567.50 $6,571.30 +$131.53
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:35am ET $179.91 36 $6,476.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $186.20 36 $6,703.02 $6,797.38 +$226.08
(+3.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:10am ET $187.85 36 $6,762.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:00am ET $191.99 36 $6,911.64 $6,946.42 +$149.04
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET $189.49 36 $6,821.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $177.09 36 $6,375.24 $6,499.84 $-446.58
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET $175.51 37 $6,493.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $180.81 37 $6,689.97 $6,695.94 +$196.10
(+3.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET $182.23 36 $6,560.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $174.76 36 $6,291.36 $6,427.02 $-268.92
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $180.54 35 $6,318.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $184.21 35 $6,447.35 $6,555.47 +$128.45
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.6h held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $185.93 35 $6,507.38 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:00pm ET $180.24 35 $6,308.31 $6,356.41 $-199.06
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 3:15pm ET $186.53 34 $6,342.02 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $179.68 34 $6,109.12 $6,123.51 $-232.90
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
15 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:55am ET $180.07 34 $6,122.21 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:50am ET $174.20 34 $5,922.63 $5,923.93 $-199.58
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
16 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 10:35am ET $167.82 35 $5,873.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:50am ET $171.84 35 $6,014.40 $6,064.63 +$140.70
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
17 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 11:00am ET $177.83 34 $6,046.22 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $185.05 34 $6,291.70 $6,310.11 +$245.48
(+4.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
18 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $176.04 35 $6,161.57 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:45pm ET $179.74 35 $6,290.90 $6,439.44 +$129.33
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.3h held
19 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:50am ET $182.12 35 $6,374.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:50am ET $182.27 35 $6,379.62 $6,444.86 +$5.42
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:15am ET $180.54 35 $6,318.73 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $184.41 35 $6,454.52 $6,580.66 +$135.80
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:30am ET $205.39 32 $6,572.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:50am ET $209.82 32 $6,714.24 $6,722.42 +$141.76
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20m held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $197.81 33 $6,527.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:15am ET $191.73 33 $6,327.09 $6,521.86 $-200.56
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:30am ET $190.85 34 $6,488.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $185.03 34 $6,291.02 $6,323.98 $-197.88
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $182.07 34 $6,190.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $176.57 34 $6,003.55 $6,137.32 $-186.66
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $173.51 35 $6,072.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $167.06 35 $5,847.10 $5,911.57 $-225.75
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:20am ET $163.49 36 $5,885.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $167.72 36 $6,037.92 $6,063.67 +$152.10
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET $162.15 37 $5,999.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $157.10 37 $5,812.52 $5,876.82 $-186.85
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,876.82
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,123.18
Total Return: -41.23%
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