Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:20:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.4/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 41.3/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 40.3

30-Day Momentum

17
+2.0%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 23.8 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,277.42
Current Value
$14,569.45
Period P&L
$2,292.06
Max Drawdown
-11.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.60

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
12 / 4
Best Trade
+4.04%
Worst Trade
-3.01%
Avg Trade Return
+1.10%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$432,726.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,292.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,292.06
Gross Return
+18.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,277.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:10pm ET $249.36 49 $12,218.64
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $245.09 49 $12,009.41 $12,068.16 $-209.23
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:25am ET $244.24 49 $11,967.76
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $250.04 49 $12,251.96 $12,352.36 +$284.20
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $245.32 50 $12,266.00
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $250.96 50 $12,547.75 $12,634.11 +$281.75
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET $251.78 50 $12,589.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $261.95 50 $13,097.50 $13,142.61 +$508.50
(+4.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $259.74 50 $12,987.00
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $265.02 50 $13,250.85 $13,406.46 +$263.85
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET $268.51 49 $13,156.99
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $274.48 49 $13,449.52 $13,698.99 +$292.53
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $274.71 49 $13,460.84
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $277.20 49 $13,582.80 $13,820.95 +$121.96
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET $275.47 50 $13,773.50
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $278.96 50 $13,948.00 $13,995.45 +$174.50
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:40am ET $281.57 49 $13,796.93
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $285.04 49 $13,966.96 $14,165.48 +$170.03
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
10 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:50am ET $281.78 50 $14,089.02
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $278.52 50 $13,926.00 $14,002.46 $-163.02
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $273.65 51 $13,956.15
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 11:50am ET $279.23 51 $14,240.73 $14,287.04 +$284.58
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $282.51 50 $14,125.50
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $288.71 50 $14,435.50 $14,597.04 +$310.00
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
13 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:45am ET $290.60 50 $14,530.00
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:45am ET $286.77 50 $14,338.50 $14,405.54 $-191.50
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:35am ET $291.01 49 $14,259.49
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $282.25 49 $13,830.25 $13,976.30 $-429.24
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $284.78 49 $13,954.22
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET $290.53 49 $14,235.97 $14,258.05 +$281.75
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET $287.47 49 $14,086.03
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:10am ET $293.83 49 $14,397.43 $14,569.45 +$311.40
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,569.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,569.45
Total Return: +45.69%
Back to Rebel Contraire