Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:22:20

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
8.6/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 22.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 22.1

30-Day Momentum

55
+8.4%
30d Return
86%
Win Rate
7
Trades
2.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 71.1 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+33 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,025.18
Current Value
$10,971.84
Period P&L
$946.66
Max Drawdown
-19.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
11 / 7
Best Trade
+4.64%
Worst Trade
-3.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.55%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$370,336.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$946.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$946.66
Gross Return
+9.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,025.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET $145.29 68 $9,879.72
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 11:05am ET $144.84 68 $9,849.12 $9,965.68 $-30.60
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:30pm ET $143.81 69 $9,922.61
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $144.96 69 $10,002.24 $10,045.31 +$79.63
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 2:50pm ET $143.32 70 $10,032.40
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $142.88 70 $10,001.60 $10,014.51 $-30.80
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $141.90 70 $9,933.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 12:20pm ET $144.75 70 $10,132.50 $10,214.01 +$199.50
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:30pm ET $146.65 69 $10,118.85
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:30pm ET $144.41 69 $9,964.63 $10,059.79 $-154.22
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $143.20 70 $10,024.00
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:05am ET $146.07 70 $10,224.90 $10,260.69 +$200.90
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:40am ET $145.30 70 $10,171.35
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $152.05 70 $10,643.50 $10,732.84 +$472.15
(+4.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:00am ET $148.96 72 $10,725.48
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $145.18 72 $10,453.32 $10,460.68 $-272.16
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $143.38 72 $10,323.36
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $146.51 72 $10,548.72 $10,686.04 +$225.36
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
10 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:40am ET $146.90 72 $10,576.80
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 11:50am ET $142.40 72 $10,252.80 $10,362.04 $-324.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
11 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:10pm ET $145.58 71 $10,336.18
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $142.20 71 $10,095.85 $10,121.71 $-240.33
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
12 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:40am ET $141.34 71 $10,035.14
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 11:45am ET $144.20 71 $10,238.20 $10,324.77 +$203.06
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
13 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $143.60 71 $10,195.60
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $146.75 71 $10,419.25 $10,548.42 +$223.65
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
14 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:50am ET $145.99 72 $10,511.28
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $141.51 72 $10,188.72 $10,225.86 $-322.56
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:10pm ET $139.13 73 $10,156.85
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $141.96 73 $10,362.72 $10,431.72 +$205.86
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:05am ET $142.07 73 $10,371.11
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:25am ET $145.02 73 $10,586.46 $10,647.07 +$215.35
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $145.43 73 $10,616.03
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $148.35 73 $10,829.56 $10,860.60 +$213.53
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:55pm ET $149.32 72 $10,750.68
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $150.86 72 $10,861.92 $10,971.84 +$111.24
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,971.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$971.84
Total Return: +9.72%
Back to Rebel Contraire