AMD Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 44 trades in period
+30.10%
Year to Date Return
$11,788.70
Current Value
70%
Win Rate
$9,061.12
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
23
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
10.6/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality
23.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 23.1
30-Day Momentum
95
+32.5%
30d Return
92%
Win Rate
13
Trades
6.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 100.0
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+72 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,431
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,061.12
Current Value
$11,788.70
Period P&L
$2,727.61
Max Drawdown
-52.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
31 /
13
Best Trade
+6.06%
Worst Trade
-13.35%
Avg Trade Return
+0.66%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$835,386.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,727.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,727.61
Gross Return
+30.10%
Net Return (after fees)
+30.10%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,061.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:05am ET | $214.87 | 42 | $9,024.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $224.35 | 42 | $9,422.79 | $9,496.27 |
+$398.13 (+4.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $226.74 | 41 | $9,296.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $217.34 | 41 | $8,910.94 | $9,110.87 |
$-385.40 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:05am ET | $210.04 | 43 | $9,031.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET | $203.59 | 43 | $8,754.37 | $8,833.74 |
$-277.14 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 2:10pm ET | $204.88 | 43 | $8,809.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:15am ET | $209.07 | 43 | $8,989.80 | $9,013.91 |
+$180.17 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $218.22 | 41 | $8,946.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 12:05pm ET | $222.87 | 41 | $9,137.67 | $9,204.76 |
+$190.86 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $220.44 | 41 | $9,038.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.79 | 41 | $9,585.39 | $9,752.11 |
+$547.35 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:45am ET | $230.86 | 42 | $9,696.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET | $237.22 | 42 | $9,963.24 | $10,019.35 |
+$267.24 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $250.46 | 40 | $10,018.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $262.28 | 40 | $10,491.20 | $10,492.35 |
+$473.00 (+4.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $251.00 | 41 | $10,291.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $256.94 | 41 | $10,534.54 | $10,735.89 |
+$243.54 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $251.53 | 42 | $10,564.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:45am ET | $243.92 | 42 | $10,244.64 | $10,416.19 |
$-319.70 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $242.08 | 43 | $10,409.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $248.15 | 43 | $10,670.66 | $10,677.41 |
+$261.22 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:55am ET | $244.26 | 43 | $10,503.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.66 | 43 | $9,101.38 | $9,275.40 |
$-1,402.01 (-13.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $196.39 | 47 | $9,230.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.40 | 47 | $9,465.80 | $9,510.87 |
+$235.47 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $212.64 | 44 | $9,356.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 2:10pm ET | $216.96 | 44 | $9,546.24 | $9,700.95 |
+$190.08 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:05pm ET | $202.80 | 47 | $9,531.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $195.66 | 47 | $9,196.25 | $9,365.37 |
$-335.58 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 11:50am ET | $201.28 | 46 | $9,258.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $195.22 | 46 | $8,980.12 | $9,086.61 |
$-278.76 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:35am ET | $210.29 | 43 | $9,042.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 12:25pm ET | $214.86 | 43 | $9,238.98 | $9,283.12 |
+$196.51 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 1:55pm ET | $213.18 | 43 | $9,166.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.75 | 43 | $8,804.25 | $8,920.42 |
$-362.70 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $199.62 | 44 | $8,783.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $192.84 | 44 | $8,484.96 | $8,622.32 |
$-298.10 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $191.66 | 44 | $8,433.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $195.93 | 44 | $8,620.92 | $8,810.20 |
+$187.88 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $200.56 | 43 | $8,624.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:15pm ET | $194.10 | 43 | $8,346.30 | $8,532.42 |
$-277.78 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $203.97 | 41 | $8,362.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:00am ET | $197.53 | 41 | $8,098.73 | $8,268.48 |
$-263.94 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:25am ET | $194.78 | 42 | $8,180.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $199.08 | 42 | $8,361.36 | $8,449.29 |
+$180.81 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $196.55 | 42 | $8,254.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $200.60 | 42 | $8,425.41 | $8,619.79 |
+$170.50 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:30am ET | $197.15 | 43 | $8,477.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 12:40pm ET | $201.13 | 43 | $8,648.38 | $8,790.72 |
+$170.93 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 12:40pm ET | $201.43 | 43 | $8,661.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.40 | 43 | $8,874.99 | $9,004.17 |
+$213.45 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.39 | 44 | $8,861.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 2:40pm ET | $206.07 | 44 | $9,067.08 | $9,210.09 |
+$205.92 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $220.20 | 41 | $9,028.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $212.54 | 41 | $8,714.14 | $8,896.03 |
$-314.06 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $201.40 | 44 | $8,861.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $205.49 | 44 | $9,041.56 | $9,076.21 |
+$180.18 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET | $199.15 | 45 | $8,961.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET | $203.18 | 45 | $9,143.10 | $9,257.78 |
+$181.57 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:30pm ET | $212.49 | 43 | $9,137.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.05 | 43 | $8,774.15 | $8,894.65 |
$-363.13 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $222.62 | 39 | $8,681.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $232.37 | 39 | $9,062.43 | $9,275.09 |
+$380.44 (+4.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $234.76 | 39 | $9,155.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $242.98 | 39 | $9,476.03 | $9,595.67 |
+$320.58 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 12:10pm ET | $245.02 | 39 | $9,555.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.00 | 39 | $9,750.00 | $9,789.89 |
+$194.22 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $253.42 | 38 | $9,630.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $264.93 | 38 | $10,067.34 | $10,227.23 |
+$437.34 (+4.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 10:25am ET | $277.57 | 36 | $9,992.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $284.65 | 36 | $10,247.58 | $10,482.29 |
+$255.06 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $278.42 | 37 | $10,301.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:15pm ET | $284.96 | 37 | $10,543.52 | $10,724.45 |
+$242.16 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 2:15pm ET | $300.13 | 35 | $10,504.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $306.37 | 35 | $10,722.95 | $10,943.01 |
+$218.56 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $346.52 | 31 | $10,742.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $334.30 | 31 | $10,363.45 | $10,564.43 |
$-378.58 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $321.57 | 32 | $10,290.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:35am ET | $329.41 | 32 | $10,541.12 | $10,815.31 |
+$250.88 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $338.05 | 31 | $10,479.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $345.56 | 31 | $10,712.36 | $11,048.12 |
+$232.81 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:00am ET | $351.22 | 31 | $10,887.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $358.39 | 31 | $11,110.24 | $11,270.54 |
+$222.42 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 1:15pm ET | $342.45 | 32 | $10,958.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.48 | 32 | $11,247.36 | $11,559.66 |
+$289.12 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $404.50 | 28 | $11,326.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $412.68 | 28 | $11,555.04 | $11,788.70 |
+$229.04 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,788.70
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,788.70
Total Return:
+17.89%