Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:22:09

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.2/35
Total Return
9.6/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 24.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 23.9

30-Day Momentum

25
+2.9%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 32.5 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,171
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,176.65
Current Value
$11,319.05
Period P&L
$142.41
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
14 / 13
Best Trade
+2.78%
Worst Trade
-3.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$611,282.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$142.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$142.41
Gross Return
+1.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,176.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:00am ET $328.26 34 $11,160.84
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $324.71 34 $11,040.14 $11,096.31 $-120.70
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:25am ET $323.95 34 $11,014.30
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $330.64 34 $11,241.76 $11,323.77 +$227.46
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET $338.43 33 $11,168.19
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $328.04 33 $10,825.32 $10,980.90 $-342.87
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 2:55pm ET $325.06 33 $10,726.82
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $331.61 33 $10,943.13 $11,197.21 +$216.32
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $331.70 33 $10,946.10
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:20am ET $338.56 33 $11,172.32 $11,423.43 +$226.22
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:40am ET $349.04 32 $11,169.12
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:40am ET $352.13 32 $11,268.31 $11,522.61 +$99.19
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:15am ET $346.20 33 $11,424.60
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:15am ET $345.60 33 $11,404.80 $11,502.81 $-19.80
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:45am ET $343.23 33 $11,326.59
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $352.78 33 $11,641.74 $11,817.96 +$315.15
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET $370.98 31 $11,500.38
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $378.45 31 $11,731.95 $12,049.53 +$231.57
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $374.95 32 $11,998.40
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $368.88 32 $11,804.00 $11,855.13 $-194.40
(-1.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
22.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:00am ET $370.84 31 $11,496.04
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 11:25am ET $378.36 31 $11,729.16 $12,088.25 +$233.12
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:45am ET $376.93 32 $12,061.92
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:45am ET $381.04 32 $12,193.12 $12,219.45 +$131.20
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 12:10pm ET $383.01 31 $11,873.31
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:10pm ET $384.80 31 $11,928.65 $12,274.79 +$55.34
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 1:40pm ET $376.73 32 $12,055.36
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $364.87 32 $11,675.84 $11,895.27 $-379.52
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $365.74 32 $11,703.68
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 11:10am ET $373.23 32 $11,943.36 $12,134.95 +$239.68
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $377.62 32 $12,083.84
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $367.66 32 $11,765.12 $11,816.23 $-318.72
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:20am ET $365.98 32 $11,711.36
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:45am ET $354.93 32 $11,357.76 $11,462.63 $-353.60
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:55am ET $353.15 32 $11,300.80
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:55am ET $347.81 32 $11,129.92 $11,291.75 $-170.88
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:00am ET $356.05 31 $11,037.55
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 11:00am ET $350.26 31 $10,858.06 $11,112.26 $-179.49
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 11:30am ET $349.49 31 $10,834.19
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $345.81 31 $10,720.11 $10,998.18 $-114.08
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:55am ET $338.67 32 $10,837.60
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:50am ET $345.52 32 $11,056.64 $11,217.22 +$219.04
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET $353.82 31 $10,968.27
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:15am ET $350.70 31 $10,871.85 $11,120.81 $-96.41
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $347.14 32 $11,108.48
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:35am ET $354.36 32 $11,339.68 $11,352.01 +$231.20
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $351.42 32 $11,245.44
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET $340.42 32 $10,893.28 $10,999.85 $-352.16
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET $346.49 31 $10,741.34
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET $346.17 31 $10,731.27 $10,989.78 $-10.07
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:10am ET $341.99 32 $10,943.68
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:35am ET $348.89 32 $11,164.32 $11,210.42 +$220.64
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
27 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $327.99 34 $11,151.83
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $331.19 34 $11,260.46 $11,319.05 +$108.63
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,319.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,319.05
Total Return: +13.19%
Back to Rebel Contraire