Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:22:53

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+0.8%
5d Trend
+3.3%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.2/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 39.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 38.8

30-Day Momentum

67
+13.2%
30d Return
86%
Win Rate
7
Trades
5.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 85.7 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+28 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,350
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,290.51
Current Value
$15,192.72
Period P&L
$1,902.21
Max Drawdown
-19.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
18 / 10
Best Trade
+3.91%
Worst Trade
-4.39%
Avg Trade Return
+0.49%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$753,108.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,902.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,902.21
Gross Return
+14.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BAC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,290.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:35am ET $55.24 241 $13,312.84
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $56.65 241 $13,652.65 $13,680.93 +$339.81
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET $56.92 240 $13,659.60
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $55.01 240 $13,201.20 $13,222.53 $-458.40
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET $54.94 240 $13,184.40
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $52.53 240 $12,606.00 $12,644.13 $-578.40
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:50am ET $52.25 242 $12,643.29
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $53.30 242 $12,898.60 $12,899.44 +$255.31
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:25pm ET $52.40 246 $12,889.17
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $51.96 246 $12,782.16 $12,792.43 $-107.01
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:20am ET $51.99 246 $12,788.31
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $53.05 246 $13,050.30 $13,054.42 +$261.99
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:05pm ET $53.99 241 $13,010.39
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:05am ET $55.09 241 $13,276.69 $13,320.72 +$266.30
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:50am ET $55.63 239 $13,296.76
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $56.79 239 $13,574.00 $13,597.96 +$277.24
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $56.49 240 $13,556.40
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $55.76 240 $13,383.60 $13,425.16 $-172.80
(-1.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
23.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:50am ET $52.99 253 $13,407.73
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $52.79 253 $13,357.13 $13,374.56 $-50.60
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $50.00 267 $13,350.00
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:00am ET $51.01 267 $13,618.34 $13,642.90 +$268.34
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 11:20am ET $52.37 260 $13,616.20
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET $50.57 260 $13,148.20 $13,174.90 $-468.00
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 11:20am ET $50.09 263 $13,173.67
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $48.48 263 $12,750.24 $12,751.47 $-423.43
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $47.47 268 $12,720.62
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $48.47 268 $12,991.30 $13,022.15 +$270.68
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:50am ET $48.28 269 $12,987.32
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 2:45pm ET $46.83 269 $12,597.27 $12,632.10 $-390.05
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $46.91 269 $12,618.79
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:40am ET $48.01 269 $12,914.69 $12,928.00 +$295.90
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 10:05am ET $47.52 272 $12,924.27
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:05am ET $47.91 272 $13,031.52 $13,035.25 +$107.25
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET $47.64 273 $13,005.72
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $48.97 273 $13,367.45 $13,396.98 +$361.73
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $48.70 275 $13,392.50
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $47.21 275 $12,982.75 $12,987.23 $-409.75
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $47.19 275 $12,977.25
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET $48.15 275 $13,242.62 $13,252.61 +$265.38
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:20am ET $49.36 268 $13,228.48
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:20am ET $49.99 268 $13,395.98 $13,420.11 +$167.50
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $49.99 268 $13,395.98
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $51.94 268 $13,919.92 $13,944.05 +$523.94
(+3.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $51.98 268 $13,930.64
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:10pm ET $53.03 268 $14,210.70 $14,224.11 +$280.06
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:10pm ET $53.33 266 $14,185.78
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $54.55 266 $14,510.30 $14,548.63 +$324.52
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $54.04 269 $14,536.09
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:55am ET $54.50 269 $14,660.50 $14,673.04 +$124.41
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:20am ET $53.54 274 $14,670.45
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:20am ET $52.71 274 $14,442.54 $14,445.13 $-227.91
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:35am ET $52.69 274 $14,437.06
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $53.88 274 $14,761.75 $14,769.82 +$324.69
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
28 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:10am ET $52.42 281 $14,728.62
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $53.92 281 $15,151.52 $15,192.72 +$422.90
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,192.72
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,192.72
Total Return: +51.93%
Back to Rebel Contraire