BLK Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 29 trades in period
+3.01%
Year to Date Return
$13,100.43
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$12,718.02
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.1/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
32.2/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 31.5
30-Day Momentum
27
+4.6%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.2
Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,397
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$12,718.02
Current Value
$13,100.43
Period P&L
$382.39
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
14 /
15
Best Trade
+4.44%
Worst Trade
-3.41%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$703,462.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$382.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$382.39
Gross Return
+3.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.01%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 29 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,718.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:15am ET | $1,086.70 | 11 | $11,953.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,099.07 | 11 | $12,089.77 | $12,982.92 |
+$136.07 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,113.40 | 11 | $12,247.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1,079.56 | 11 | $11,875.16 | $12,610.68 |
$-372.24 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:20pm ET | $1,084.52 | 11 | $11,929.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 1:20pm ET | $1,080.83 | 11 | $11,889.08 | $12,570.04 |
$-40.64 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:10am ET | $1,137.77 | 11 | $12,515.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:00pm ET | $1,160.85 | 11 | $12,769.35 | $12,823.92 |
+$253.88 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $1,164.96 | 11 | $12,814.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $1,129.46 | 11 | $12,424.01 | $12,433.42 |
$-390.50 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:10am ET | $1,124.22 | 11 | $12,366.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 12:30pm ET | $1,147.41 | 11 | $12,621.51 | $12,688.51 |
+$255.09 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,124.26 | 11 | $12,366.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,120.41 | 11 | $12,324.51 | $12,646.16 |
$-42.35 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET | $1,097.21 | 11 | $12,069.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1,061.95 | 11 | $11,681.50 | $12,258.32 |
$-387.84 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1,070.99 | 11 | $11,780.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1,070.95 | 11 | $11,780.50 | $12,257.88 |
$-0.44 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,073.83 | 11 | $11,812.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:55am ET | $1,098.63 | 11 | $12,084.93 | $12,530.63 |
+$272.75 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 2:30pm ET | $1,074.75 | 11 | $11,822.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $1,098.59 | 11 | $12,084.54 | $12,792.92 |
+$262.29 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:20am ET | $1,064.05 | 12 | $12,768.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1,086.85 | 12 | $13,042.26 | $13,066.64 |
+$273.72 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1,089.12 | 11 | $11,980.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,052.46 | 11 | $11,577.06 | $12,663.43 |
$-403.21 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $1,060.83 | 11 | $11,669.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 11:25am ET | $1,027.57 | 11 | $11,303.27 | $12,297.57 |
$-365.86 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 12:40pm ET | $961.46 | 12 | $11,537.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $932.34 | 12 | $11,188.02 | $11,948.07 |
$-349.50 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $960.61 | 12 | $11,527.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $931.61 | 12 | $11,179.32 | $11,600.07 |
$-348.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $936.31 | 12 | $11,235.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $964.40 | 12 | $11,572.80 | $11,937.15 |
+$337.08 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $965.44 | 12 | $11,585.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $969.38 | 12 | $11,632.56 | $11,984.43 |
+$47.28 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $961.54 | 12 | $11,538.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $984.90 | 12 | $11,818.80 | $12,264.75 |
+$280.32 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $976.44 | 12 | $11,717.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $943.15 | 12 | $11,317.74 | $11,865.21 |
$-399.54 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:50am ET | $947.14 | 12 | $11,365.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $978.99 | 12 | $11,747.88 | $12,247.47 |
+$382.26 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $932.00 | 13 | $12,116.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $953.41 | 13 | $12,394.33 | $12,525.80 |
+$278.33 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $959.41 | 13 | $12,472.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,001.99 | 13 | $13,025.87 | $13,079.40 |
+$553.60 (+4.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $994.37 | 13 | $12,926.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 1:00pm ET | $1,014.62 | 13 | $13,190.06 | $13,342.65 |
+$263.25 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET | $1,056.46 | 12 | $12,677.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:00am ET | $1,024.65 | 12 | $12,295.80 | $12,960.93 |
$-381.72 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:20am ET | $1,059.20 | 12 | $12,710.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:20am ET | $1,057.52 | 12 | $12,690.18 | $12,940.71 |
$-20.22 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $1,061.86 | 12 | $12,742.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 11:30am ET | $1,053.46 | 12 | $12,641.52 | $12,839.85 |
$-100.86 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:30am ET | $1,035.73 | 12 | $12,428.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $1,058.48 | 12 | $12,701.76 | $13,112.79 |
+$272.94 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $1,077.21 | 12 | $12,926.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:45am ET | $1,076.18 | 12 | $12,914.16 | $13,100.43 |
$-12.36 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,100.43
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,100.43
Total Return:
+31.00%